Match Info

Prva Liga - Relegation Group - Round 33

Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadion FK Smederevo (Smederevo)


	Smederevo		Sloboda Užice

	1	X	2
	1.3	4.2	11
	1.28	4.13	9.86
	1.36	4.14	11.61	Watch
	1.29	4.25	11.3
	1.3	4.2	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.65)	4.18 ↑ (3.31)	10.95 ↑ (5.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Smederevo
69.9%

Draw
21.8%

Sloboda Užice
8.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

27.8%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

26.6%

15.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Smederevo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Smederevo's performance.

Sloboda Užice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sloboda Užice might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Smederevo than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Smederevo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sloboda Užice than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sloboda Užice could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Smederevo - Sloboda Užice Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jovic S. (G) 7. Balabanovic V. 17. Djokic M. 4. Jovanovic A. 19. Lokosa A. 5. Marjanovic S. 13. Michibuchi R. 6. Slein G. 30. Vidojevic N. 23. Vidovic A. 27. Vukojevic V.	12. Vukadinovic V. (G) 15. Glisovic R. 20. Halabrin F. 3. Jakobi L. 26. Jankovic M. 28. Jovanovic M. 24. Myung Se-Jin 27. Radoman D. 8. Raskovic S. 29. Savic M. 16. Vrbic D.
Substitutes
22. Bacanin M. 26. Djordjevic K. 8. Gajic U. 20. Jovanovic D. 28. Malisic P. 10. Milisavljevic M. 21. Mitic D. 25. Oregbe O. A. 18. Popovic D. 12. Stankovic A. (G) 9. Veselji M.	17. Agyemang S. 5. Brnovic M. 2. Dragicevic M. 7. Mitkov K. 21. Nenadic J. (G) 9. Pavlovic L. 30. Petrovic B. 18. Starcevic O. 10. Stojanovic I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 🟨,
37', 1 - 0, Balabanovic V. ⚽,
37', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', 🟨,
52', 🟨,
54', 🟨,
87', 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Smederevo
Serbian Prva Liga
23.04.25	Sloven Ruma - Smederevo	1:0 ✺
13.04.25	Smederevo - Inđija	1:1 ✺
06.04.25	Smederevo - Dubočica	0:1 ✺
29.03.25	Sloven Ruma - Smederevo	3:2 ✺
24.03.25	Smederevo - Trayal Kruševac	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTLLT
- FK Sloboda Užice
Serbian Prva Liga
23.04.25	Sloboda Užice - Zemun	2:0 ✺
14.04.25	Dubočica - Sloboda Užice	2:0 ✺
06.04.25	Borac Čačak - Sloboda Užice	2:0 ✺
30.03.25	Sloboda Užice - Radnik Surdulica	0:3 ✺
24.03.25	Mačva Šabac - Sloboda Užice	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Serbian Prva Liga
17.03.25	Sloboda Užice - Smederevo	2:1
20.10.24	Smederevo - Sloboda Užice	2:0
10.12.23	Smederevo - Sloboda Užice	0:0
02.09.23	Sloboda Užice - Smederevo	1:1
Serbian Superliga
26.05.13	Sloboda Užice - Smederevo	4:1
01.12.12	Smederevo - Sloboda Užice	0:1

Smederevo - Sloboda Užice: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide