Match Info

Pershaya Liga - Round 11

Date: 13 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Yunost Stadium (Slonim)


	Slonim		Ostrovets

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.3	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (1.64)	3.3 ↓ (4)	2.66 ↓ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Slonim
38.2%

Draw
27.6%

Ostrovets
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

22.7%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

21.6%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Slonim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Slonim's form might have worsened.

Ostrovets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ostrovets's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Slonim than the current prediction. (+19.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Slonim, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ostrovets than the current prediction. (-13.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ostrovets, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Miskevich D. (G) 10. Alenchev P. 15. Chizh A. 20. Glotko A. 23. Klunok M. 66. Krutorozhkin K. 8. Mushulov R. 11. Papava V. 12. Semin I. 14. Tkatsevich M. 5. Vechorko D. (C)	1. Frolov I. (G) 18. Davyskiba R. 10. Goncharik K. (C) 15. Kotlyarov A. 13. Kudinov E. 19. Mikhey E. 14. Mokshin I. 4. Prudnik D. 88. Yakimovich N. 7. Zaytsev I. 20. Zhernosek G.
Substitutes
44. Agapov A. (G) 77. Bulychev A. 99. Kalinchenko M. 19. Konev A. 17. Sokol A. 18. Zhukovskiy A.	11. Boychenko M. 8. Davidovich A. 82. Drozd V. (G) 9. Fedosenko A. 25. Gonzhurov A. 23. Isachenko E. 22. Kalinovskiy M. 21. Kilyimanov A. 81. Skripnik G. 97. Tsyk D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', 1 - 0, Papava V. ⚽, Chizh A. (A),
80', 🟨,
90+3', 1 - 1, Tsyk D. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Vysshaya Liga and 11).

Slonim is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Ostrovets has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ostrovets may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Slonim is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Slonim will win today's game, with odds of 1.64.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Slonim won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:11. (average 0.7:3.7).

Including home match between the teams, Slonim won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:5.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	FC Slonim	27	14	5	8	49:32	17	47
10	Ostrovets	27	8	11	8	37:39	-2	35

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Slonim
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
01.06.26	BATE 2 - Slonim	2:5 ✺
Belarusian Cup
28.05.26	Tekhnolog Mogilev - Slonim	0:6 ✺
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
23.05.26	Slonim - Uni X Labs Minsk	3:0 ✺
16.05.26	Molodechno - Slonim	1:0 ✺
10.05.26	Slonim - Gomel 2	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWWLW
- FC Ostrovets
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
06.06.26	Ostrovets - BATE 2	0:0 ✺
31.05.26	Ostrovets - Uni X Labs Minsk	3:2 ✺
Belarusian Cup
27.05.26	Krechet Bereza - Ostrovets	0:8 ✺
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
23.05.26	Ostrovets - Molodechno	2:3 ✺
15.05.26	Gomel 2 - Ostrovets	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Pershaya Liga
24.08.25	Ostrovets - Slonim	3:0
25.05.24	Ostrovets - Slonim	3:2
15.08.23	Slonim - Ostrovets	0:5

Slonim - Ostrovets: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide