Match Info

Mozzart Bet Prva Liga - Round 11

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion FK Smederevo (Smederevo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Serbia	Arena Sport 10


	Smederevo		Vršac

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.20	3.70
	1.85	3.15	3.70
	1.83	3.43	3.87
	1.89	3.38	4.1	Watch
	1.80	3.20	3.80
	1.82	3.64	4.06
	1.87	3.20	3.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.8)	3.31 ↓ (3.49)	3.85 ↓ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Smederevo
49.1%

Draw
27.3%

Vršac
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

26.7%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3%

29.6%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Smederevo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Vršac has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Smederevo than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Smederevo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vršac than the current prediction. (-4%)

Smederevo - Vršac Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mirkovic N. (C) 9. Hadzic I. 16. Joseph T. 7. Karajcic V. 11. Kodzic N. 15. Kolarevic L. 6. Mitrovic S. 14. Orescanin M. 3. Petkoski Cimbaljevic S. 27. Preradov A. 10. Spiridonovic S.	42. Lazin L. (G) 2. Bojat D. 7. Glavinic D. 24. Janjic K. 8. Kikovic D. (C) 9. Milivojevic M. 5. Nikolic S. 26. Ostojic M. 3. Petronijevic D. 31. Serdar L. 18. Wasiu S.
Substitutes
26. Drobnjak L. 24. Filipovic U. 28. Grbovic T. 12. Knezevic D. (G) 17. Lukovic S. 30. Lutovac A. 40. Milunovic L. 13. Popov A. 22. Rmus B. 18. Sawadogo A. 8. Stojkovic N.	25. Atem E. 79. Bala V. 22. Cejic U. 30. Jankovic M. 99. Kostadinov S. 15. Kravic V. 14. Milosavljevic A. 12. Stankovic A. (G) 19. Zivotic V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Janjic K. 🟨,
58', Bojat D. 🟨,
61', Milivojevic M. ↓, Cejic U. ↑,
70', 1 - 0, Hadzic I. ⚽,
71', Serdar L. ↓, Atem E. ↑,
77', Preradov A. ↓, Lutovac A. ↑,
77', Kodzic N. ↓, Rmus B. ↑,
80', Bojat D. ↓, Jankovic M. ↑,
85', Petkoski Cimbaljevic S. ↓, Lukovic S. ↑,
85', Spiridonovic S. ↓, Milunovic L. ↑,
88', Lutovac A. 🟨,
89', Hadzic I. ↓, Popov A. ↑,

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Smederevo	12	7	3	2	21:13	8	24
5	Vrsac	12	7	1	4	16:11	5	22

Last Results with these Odds

Vršac - the odds 4.3 are the expected chance of winning is 21.64%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Smederevo
Serbian Prva Liga
21.09.26	Napredak Kruševac - Smederevo	1:4 ✺
16.09.26	Smederevo - Spartak Subotica	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Jedinstvo Ub - Smederevo	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Smederevo - Javor Ivanjica	1:3 ✺
30.08.26	Bačka Topola - Smederevo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WWLLT
- FK Vršac
Serbian Prva Liga
21.09.26	Vršac - Bor 1919	1:0 ✺
16.09.26	Napredak Kruševac - Vršac	1:2 ✺
12.09.26	Vršac - Grafičar Beograd	4:1 ✺
05.09.26	Spartak Subotica - Vršac	2:0 ✺
30.08.26	Vršac - Borac Čačak	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Serbian Prva Liga
05.04.26	Vršac - Smederevo	0:0
25.10.25	Smederevo - Vršac	3:0
Club Friendly
22.01.25	Smederevo - Vršac	2:1
Serbian Prva Liga
16.11.24	Vršac - Smederevo	2:0
05.08.24	Smederevo - Vršac	0:2
26.11.23	Smederevo - Vršac	1:0
18.08.23	Vršac - Smederevo	1:1

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