Match Info

Mozzart Bet Prva Liga - Round 9

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion FK Smederevo (Smederevo)


	Smederevo		Mačva Šabac

	1	X	2
	2.34	2.71	3.25
	2.25	2.93	3.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.22)	2.82 ↓ (2.94)	3.22 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Smederevo
39.6%

Draw
32.2%

Mačva Šabac
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

30.7%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

31.4%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Smederevo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Mačva Šabac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Smederevo than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mačva Šabac than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Smederevo - Mačva Šabac Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Stankovic A. (C) 4. Blagojevic B. 10. Gajic U. 9. Glavinic D. 14. Ivelja F. 29. Kodzic N. 25. Mitrovic J. 28. Petrovic L. 22. Rmus B. 26. Vidic L. 23. Vidovic A.	98. Nikolic B. (G) 30. Djordjic D. 32. Dukic M. 10. Ergelas M. 70. Gvozdenovic M. 4. Ilic V. 55. Nikolic M. 27. Pejovic L. 15. Sladojevic S. (C) 5. Terzic D. 9. Zivkov D.
Substitutes
18. Abadzija L. 20. Adamovic A. 21. Barac P. 3. Cakovan L. 31. Djordjevic V. (G) 7. Grbovic T. 1. Jovic S. (G) 2. Karajcic V. 19. Lokosa A. 11. Markovic A. 8. Stojkovic N.	7. Abdullahi S. 23. Cirovic P. 80. Denic S. 33. Gemovic M. 22. Isakovski V. 2. Jovanovic N. 24. Jovovic M. 29. Kilibarda U. 14. Nikolic L. 88. Savic M. (G) 44. Stevanovic N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Ergelas M. (Pen),
44', Ivelja F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Petrovic L. ↓, Grbovic T. ↑,
58', Dukic M. 🟨,
61', Zivkov D. ↓, Kilibarda U. ↑,
65', Ivelja F. ↓, Lokosa A. ↑,
66', Gvozdenovic M. 🟨,
66', Markovic A. 🟨,
69', Gvozdenovic M. ↓, Denic S. ↑,
74', Kodzic N. ↓, Barac P. ↑,
78', Pejovic L. ↓, Gemovic M. ↑,
78', Dukic M. ↓, Stevanovic N. ↑,
80', Gajic U. ↓, Stojkovic N. ↑,
80', Vidic L. ↓, Markovic A. ↑,
83', 0 - 2, Ergelas M. ⚽,
83', Stojkovic N. 🟨,
88', Terzic D. 🟨,

Last Results with these Odds

Mačva Šabac - the odds 3.15 are the expected chance of winning is 28.65%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Smederevo
Serbian Prva Liga
14.09.25	Tekstilac Odžaci - Smederevo	2:0 ✺
06.09.25	Smederevo - Grafičar Beograd	0:1 ✺
30.08.25	Ušće Novi Beograd - Smederevo	3:1 ✺
24.08.25	Smederevo - Trayal Kruševac	2:0 ✺
20.08.25	Dubočica - Smederevo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLWL
- Mačva Šabac
Serbian Prva Liga
13.09.25	Mačva Šabac - Voždovac	2:1 ✺
06.09.25	Zemun - Mačva Šabac	1:0 ✺
01.09.25	Mačva Šabac - Borac Čačak	3:1 ✺
26.08.25	Jedinstvo Ub - Mačva Šabac	2:2 ✺
20.08.25	Mačva Šabac - Kabel Novi Sad	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Serbian Prva Liga
25.11.24	Mačva Šabac - Smederevo	1:0
11.08.24	Smederevo - Mačva Šabac	1:2
01.05.24	Smederevo - Mačva Šabac	0:0
02.12.23	Mačva Šabac - Smederevo	2:1
26.08.23	Smederevo - Mačva Šabac	0:0

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