Match Info

EGYPT: Premier League - Round 14

Date: 16 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Alexandria Stadium (Alexandria)


	Smouha		National Bank of Egypt

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.65	2.5	2.95	Watch
	2.91	2.6	3.34
	2.85	2.46	3.25	Watch
	2.7	2.5	3.1
	2.77	2.43	3.23
	2.65	2.5	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.27)	2.5 ↓ (2.72)	3.14 ↓ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Smouha
33.5%

Draw
37%

National Bank of Egypt
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

34%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

33.4%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Smouha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Smouha's form might have worsened.

National Bank of Egypt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Smouha than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Smouha, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for National Bank of Egypt than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	75%	0%

Smouha - National Bank of Egypt Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Smouha will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Soliman E. (G) 2. Hesham H. 26. Rabia M. 21. Mostafa M. 11. Reda S. 36. Dodo D. 33. Saber M. 23. Amadi S. 3. Canaria 10. El Ouadi A. 9. Salim M.	27. El Balouty A. (G) 7. Saleh H. 4. Simpore S. 31. Serial D. 11. Yakubu I. 6. El Gazzar M. 5. Fathi M. 8. Rayan A. 21. Madbouli A. 30. Annor Y. 9. Faisal O.
Substitutes
28. Abdel Naby M. 18. Amr A. 25. Ateya I. 19. El Badry M. . El Sisi A. 14. Juhayna 20. Magdy A. 24. Mohamed Ragab 29. Taimour H. (G)	14. Aka S. 23. Bassiouny M. 17. El Nadry A. 10. Ibrahim M. 20. Medhat A. 13. Rabie A. 24. Said A. 19. Shehata M. 1. Sobhi A. (G)
Coaches
Samy A.	Mostafa T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Rayan A. ⚽, Madbouli A. (A),
36', Amadi S. 🟨,
43', Reda S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Salim M. ↓, El Badry M. ↑,
46', Reda S. ↓, Juhayna ↑,
46', Dodo D. ↓, Ateya I. ↑,
47', 1 - 1, El Ouadi A. ⚽, El Badry M. (A),
49', Serial D. 🟨,
52', Faisal O. 🟨,
60', Fathi M. ↓, Ibrahim M. ↑,
60', Rayan A. ↓, Aka S. ↑,
61', El Badry M. 🟨,
62', 1 - 2, Annor Y. ⚽,
68', Saleh H. ↓, Rabie A. ↑,
70', Ateya I. 🟨,
74', 1 - 3, Faisal O. (Pen),
74', Saber M. ↓, Magdy A. ↑,
79', Madbouli A. ↓, Bassiouny M. ↑,
79', Simpore S. ↓, Medhat A. ↑,
83', Amadi S. ↓, Amr A. ↑,
87', 1 - 4, Faisal O. ⚽, Rabie A. (A),

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Losers stage: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Winners stage: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Smouha won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Smouha could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Smouha won 2 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12:11 (average 1.3:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Smouha won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:5 (average 1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Smouha SC
Egyptian Premier League
11.02.25	Petrojet - Smouha	0:1 ✺
07.02.25	Smouha - Pyramids	0:1 ✺
02.02.25	Ceramica Cleopatra - Smouha	0:1 ✺
28.01.25	Smouha - ZED	2:1 ✺
21.01.25	Ismaily - Smouha	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WLWWL
- National Bank of Egypt SC
Egyptian Premier League
12.02.25	Al Masry - National Bank of Egypt	0:0 ✺
08.02.25	National Bank of Egypt - ZED	1:1 ✺
01.02.25	ENPPI - National Bank of Egypt	0:1 ✺
28.01.25	National Bank of Egypt - Petrojet	0:2 ✺
21.01.25	El Gouna - National Bank of Egypt	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Egyptian Premier League
13.07.24	National Bank of Egypt - Smouha	1:2
13.02.24	Smouha - National Bank of Egypt	1:1
19.02.23	National Bank of Egypt - Smouha	2:2
25.10.22	Smouha - National Bank of Egypt	1:1
17.07.22	Smouha - National Bank of Egypt	0:1
10.02.22	National Bank of Egypt - Smouha	1:2
Egyptian League Cup
17.01.22	National Bank of Egypt - Smouha	0:0

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