Match Info

EGYPT: Premier League - Round 9

Date: 21 January 2025, Tuesday

Location: Borg El Arab Stadium (Alexandria)

Where to Watch on TV:


Egypt	On Time Sports 1


	Ismaily		Smouha

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.1	2.75	2.25
	3.05	2.55	2.25	Watch
	3.56	2.81	2.45
	3.31	2.82	2.32	Watch
	3.2	2.8	2.4
	3.3	2.95	2.34
	3.05	2.55	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.22 ↑ (3.14)	2.75 ↓ (2.98)	2.32 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ismaily
28.1%

Draw
33%

Smouha
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

31.6%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

31.5%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ismaily has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Smouha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ismaily than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Smouha than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
19%	61.9%	19%

Ismaily - Smouha Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Ismaily will win (votes: 4 - 20%). Smouha will win (votes: 3 - 15%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 65%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 44.1% – 85.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Adel A. (G) 2. Nasr M. 4. Hamdi E. 12. Mostafa A. 5. Ammar M. 30. Traore E. 8. Bayoumi M. 19. El Dah A. 9. Hamdi M. 10. Abdelsamia M. 33. Al-Nabris K.	1. Soliman E. (G) 2. Hesham H. 4. Haggag B. 26. Rabia M. 15. Gaber I. 6. Amer A. 33. Saber M. 7. Canaria 10. El Ouadi A. 18. Hassan H. (C) 23. Amadi S.
Substitutes
43. El Kot O. 22. El Malawany A. A. O. 16. El Sayed K. (G) 15. Farag N. 6. Hassan M. 32. Khatary M. 24. Mohamed A. 14. Mohamed H. 3. Sukkar H. M.	16. Ashraf M. (G) 36. Dodo D. 19. El Badry M. 8. Liadi A. 66. Mohamed K. 21. Mostafa M. 11. Reda S. 28. Said M. 9. Salim M.
Coaches
Ibrahim H.	Samy A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Hamdi M. ↓, Farag N. ↑,
63', Bayoumi M. 🟨,
68', 1 - 0, Al-Nabris K. ⚽,
68', Al-Nabris K. 🟨,
70', Abdelsamia M. ↓, Hassan M. ↑,
72', Gaber I. ↓, Salim M. ↑,
78', El Ouadi A. ↓, El Badry M. ↑,
78', Saber M. ↓, Said M. ↑,
83', El Dah A. ↓, Sukkar H. M. ↑,
89', Hassan M. 🟨,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Losers stage: ) and 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Losers stage: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ismaily won 3.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Ismaily could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Smouha will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Ismaily won 9 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 26:23 (average 1.3:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Ismaily won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:11 (average 1:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ismaily SC
Egyptian Cup
16.01.25	ENPPI - Ismaily	1:0 ✺
Egyptian Premier League
11.01.25	National Bank of Egypt - Ismaily	1:0 ✺
Egyptian Cup
04.01.25	Ismaily - Tanta	1:0 ✺
Egyptian Premier League
01.01.25	Modern Sport - Ismaily	0:0 ✺
25.12.24	Ismaily - Haras El-Hodood	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLWTT
- Smouha SC
Egyptian Cup
17.01.25	Smouha - ZED	1:0 ✺
Egyptian Premier League
12.01.25	Smouha - Modern Sport	1:0 ✺
07.01.25	Al Ahly Cairo - Smouha	2:0 ✺
Egyptian Cup
04.01.25	Smouha - Suez Montakhab	1:0 ✺
Egyptian Premier League
30.12.24	Pharco - Smouha	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Egyptian Cup
21.08.24	Ismaily - Smouha	2:0
Egyptian Premier League
16.08.24	Smouha - Ismaily	2:0
03.04.24	Ismaily - Smouha	2:1
30.03.23	Smouha - Ismaily	1:3
02.12.22	Ismaily - Smouha	0:1
13.07.22	Ismaily - Smouha	1:0
Egyptian League Cup
13.01.22	Smouha - Ismaily	0:1

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