Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 - Round 22

Date: 16 August 2025, Saturday


	Sochi 2		Astrakhan

	1	X	2
	2.68	3.24	2.58
	2.34	3.05	2.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.34)	3.15 ↑ (3.05)	2.63 ↓ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sochi 2
36.3%

Draw
29%

Astrakhan
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

29%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

29.8%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sochi 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Astrakhan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sochi 2 than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Astrakhan than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Sochi 2 - Astrakhan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
85. Silev D. (G) 80. Balkizov A. 83. Kalinov S. 87. Koshman A. 60. Nosatiy M. 78. Platonov P. 70. Sharipov S. 92. Shilov D. 94. Slepov M. 79. Totskiy E. 81. Yangaev A.	71. Krasilnikov A. (G) 4. Abzalilov S. 13. Levchenkov I. 52. Malomusov R. 27. Malysh M. 6. Musaev B. 19. Pacho 89. Shatalov D. 18. Vladimirov D. 8. Zlobin N. 99. Zolotorenko D.
Substitutes
75. Chenchikov R. 95. Dys V. 74. Filimonov A. 63. Mkrtychyan A. 68. Prokopjev D. 91. Zavjalov N. (G)	3. Abzalilov A. 17. Belov D. 25. Galochkin F. 26. Grishin V. (G) 77. Karpov A. 41. Maslennikov I. 9. Predeus I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Shilov D. ⚽,
32', Platonov P. 🟨,
33', 🟨,
35', 2 - 0, Totskiy E. ⚽,
38', Zolotorenko D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Malysh M. ↓, Predeus I. ↑,
46', Zolotorenko D. ↓, Karpov A. ↑,
52', Kalinov S. 🟨,
52', Abzalilov S. 🟨,
55', Levchenkov I. ↓, Maslennikov I. ↑,
65', Vladimirov D. 🟨,
67', Malomusov R. 🟨,
76', Musaev B. ↓, Galochkin F. ↑,
79', Zlobin N. ↓, Abzalilov A. ↑,
90+3', 🟨,
90+4', 🟥,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 7).

Sochi 2 has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Astrakhan has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sochi 2 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Sochi 2
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
09.08.25	Angust Nazran - Sochi 2	2:0 ✺
02.08.25	Sochi 2 - Legion Makhachkala	2:2 ✺
26.07.25	Spartak Nalchik - Sochi 2	2:2 ✺
05.07.25	Sochi 2 - Kuban-Kholding	1:1 ✺
29.06.25	Sochi 2 - FC Sevastopol	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LTTTL
- SC Astrakhan
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
09.08.25	Astrakhan - FC Sevastopol	1:1 ✺
02.08.25	Druzhba Maykop - Astrakhan	1:1 ✺
26.07.25	Astrakhan - Nart Cherkessk	2:2 ✺
05.07.25	Pobeda Khasavyurt - Astrakhan	1:0 ✺
29.06.25	Astrakhan - Dynamo Makhachkala 2	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
17.05.25	Astrakhan - Sochi 2	1:1

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