Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 - Round 13

Date: 20 June 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Astrakhan		FC Sevastopol

	1	X	2
	6.09	3.64	1.51	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.09 ↑ (4.54)	3.64 ↑ (3.46)	1.51 ↓ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Astrakhan
14.9%

Draw
24.9%

FC Sevastopol
60.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

20%

26.3%

53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.9%

26.2%

54%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Astrakhan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Astrakhan's form might have worsened.

FC Sevastopol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting FC Sevastopol's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Astrakhan than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Sevastopol than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for FC Sevastopol, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Astrakhan - FC Sevastopol Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, Zubavlenko V. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', 1 - 1, Karpov A. ⚽,
90+1', 1 - 2, Gevlych V. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 2).

In recent matches, Astrakhan has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sevastopol is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Sevastopol is the clear favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Astrakhan won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1.8:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Astrakhan won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 3:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	FC Sevastopol ✔	27	21	3	3	56:21	35	66
12	Astrakhan	27	6	7	14	28:42	-14	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Astrakhan
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
13.06.26	Dinskaya - Astrakhan	1:4 ✺
06.06.26	Astrakhan - Shakhtyor Taganrog	0:3 ✺
30.05.26	Chayka 2 - Astrakhan	0:3 ✺
24.05.26	Dynamo Makhachkala 2 - Astrakhan	0:2 ✺
16.05.26	Astrakhan - Pobeda Khasavyurt	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WLWWL
- FC Sevastopol
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
13.06.26	FC Sevastopol - Pobeda Khasavyurt	2:1 ✺
06.06.26	Nart Cherkessk - FC Sevastopol	0:1 ✺
30.05.26	FC Sevastopol - Druzhba Maykop	0:0 ✺
23.05.26	Kyzyltash - FC Sevastopol	0:2 ✺
16.05.26	FC Sevastopol - Dinskaya	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
09.08.25	Astrakhan - FC Sevastopol	1:1
10.05.25	FC Sevastopol - Astrakhan	1:0
26.10.24	Astrakhan - FC Sevastopol	5:2
25.09.24	FC Sevastopol - Astrakhan	3:1

Astrakhan - FC Sevastopol