Match Info

Youth League - Round 24

Date: 26 September 2025, Friday


	Sochi U19		Fakel Voronezh U19

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.24	3.91
	1.92	3.45	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.16)	3.35 ↑ (3.1)	3.81 ↑ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sochi U19
48%

Draw
27.6%

Fakel Voronezh U19
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

29.9%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

25.6%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sochi U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Fakel Voronezh U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sochi U19 than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sochi U19 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fakel Voronezh U19 than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fakel Voronezh U19 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sochi U19 - Fakel Voronezh U19 Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sochi U19 (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', 1 - 0, Khachikyan D. ⚽,
53', 1 - 1, Belyaev A. ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 9).

Sochi U19 has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Fakel U19 is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Sochi U19 could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Sochi U19 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Sochi U19 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Sochi U19
Russian Youth League
19.09.25	Dynamo Moscow U19 - Sochi U19	0:2 ✺
12.09.25	Sochi U19 - Rostov U19	0:1 ✺
29.08.25	Akhmat Grozny U19 - Sochi U19	0:0 ✺
22.08.25	Sochi U19 - Krasnodar U19	1:2 ✺
15.08.25	Spartak Moscow U19 - Sochi U19	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30 WLTLT
- Fakel Voronezh U19
Russian Youth League
19.09.25	Fakel Voronezh U19 - Nizhny Novgorod U19	0:2 ✺
12.09.25	Lokomotiv Moscow U19 - Fakel Voronezh U19	2:0 ✺
29.08.25	Fakel Voronezh U19 - Rubin Kazan U19	0:0 ✺
22.08.25	Krylya Sovetov Samara U19 - Fakel Voronezh U19	2:2 ✺
15.08.25	Fakel Voronezh U19 - CSKA Moscow U19	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Russian Youth League
09.05.25	Fakel Voronezh U19 - Sochi U19	1:0
27.10.23	Sochi U19 - Fakel Voronezh U19	2:1
11.11.22	Sochi U19 - Fakel Voronezh U19	3:1

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