Match Info

Youth League - Round 10

Date: 16 May 2025, Friday


	Sochi U19		Konoplev Academy U19

	1	X	2
	2.67	3.56	2.3
	2.85	3.4	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.29)	3.48 ↓ (3.7)	2.3 ↓ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sochi U19
33.4%

Draw
26.5%

Konoplev Academy U19
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

25.2%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

26.1%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sochi U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sochi U19's form might have worsened.

Konoplev Academy U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Konoplev Academy U19's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sochi U19 than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sochi U19, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Konoplev Academy U19 than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Konoplev Academy U19, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
11', 0 - 1, Chelyshev N. ⚽,
13', 1 - 1, Tkachev R. ⚽,
25', 1 - 2, Bitel D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
81', Dobrorodov V. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Youth League (Relegation) and 10).

Sochi U19 has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Konoplev Academy U19 has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Sochi U19 won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:2. (average 3.7:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Sochi U19 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 3.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Sochi U19
Russian Youth League
09.05.25	Fakel Voronezh U19 - Sochi U19	1:0 ✺
02.05.25	Sochi U19 - Dynamo Moscow U19	1:1 ✺
25.04.25	Rostov U19 - Sochi U19	1:0 ✺
18.04.25	Sochi U19 - Akhmat Grozny U19	4:0 ✺
11.04.25	Krasnodar U19 - Sochi U19	8:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LTLWL
- Konoplev Academy U19
Russian Youth League
09.05.25	Konoplev Academy U19 - Nizhny Novgorod U19	2:1 ✺
02.05.25	Lokomotiv Moscow U19 - Konoplev Academy U19	2:0 ✺
25.04.25	Konoplev Academy U19 - Rubin Kazan U19	0:0 ✺
18.04.25	Krylya Sovetov Samara U19 - Konoplev Academy U19	1:4 ✺
11.04.25	Konoplev Academy U19 - CSKA Moscow U19	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Russian Youth League
05.07.24	Konoplev Academy U19 - Sochi U19	0:4
05.04.24	Sochi U19 - Konoplev Academy U19	2:1
11.08.23	Sochi U19 - Konoplev Academy U19	5:1

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