Match Info

Date: 4 December 2021, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Sofán		Arzúa

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Sofán
19.9%

Draw
27.2%

Arzúa
53%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

24.8%

28.9%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19%

22.2%

60.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sofán has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Arzúa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arzúa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sofán than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arzúa than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arzúa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Sofán is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Arzúa in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Sofán could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Arzúa have a series of home games.

In this match Arzúa is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Sofán
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
28.11.21	Somozas - Sofán	2:0 ✺
21.11.21	Sofán - Alondras	0:2 ✺
14.11.21	Barco - Sofán	5:2 ✺
07.11.21	Sofán - Juvenil de Ponteareas	2:1 ✺
24.10.21	Deportivo A Coruña B - Sofán	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LLLWL
- CSD Arzúa
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
28.11.21	Arzúa - Deportivo A Coruña B	2:1 ✺
14.11.21	Arzúa - Choco	1:1 ✺
07.11.21	Polvorín - Arzúa	1:2 ✺
30.10.21	Arzúa - Viveiro	1:0 ✺
17.10.21	Arzúa - RC Villalbes	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23 WTWWW

Sofán - Arzúa