Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 29

Date: 16 April 2023, Sunday


	Arzúa		Choco

	1	X	2
	1.46	3.9	6
	1.48	4.18	5.1
	1.47	3.98	6.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.36)	4.02 ↓ (4.07)	5.85 ↓ (7.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arzúa
61.8%

Draw
22.6%

Choco
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.2%

22.1%

11.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

13.8%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arzúa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Choco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arzúa than the current prediction. (-20.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arzúa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Choco than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams have a series of defeats in the last matches.

Choco could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Arzúa is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Arzúa won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Arzúa won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CSD Arzúa
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
09.04.23	Atlético Arteixo - Arzúa	1:0 ✺
02.04.23	Arzúa - Silva SD	0:1 ✺
26.03.23	Gran Peña - Arzúa	3:1 ✺
19.03.23	Arzúa - Viveiro	0:0 ✺
11.03.23	Rápido de Bouzas - Arzúa	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLTL
- CD Choco
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
06.04.23	Choco - Estradense	0:1 ✺
01.04.23	Arosa - Choco	1:0 ✺
26.03.23	Choco - Deportivo A Coruña B	0:1 ✺
18.03.23	Paiosaco - Choco	1:0 ✺
12.03.23	Choco - Barco	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
17.12.22	Choco - Arzúa	1:1
20.03.22	Choco - Arzúa	2:0
14.11.21	Arzúa - Choco	1:1

Arzúa - Choco: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide