Match Info

Super League - Round 20

Date: 20 August 2025, Wednesday

Location: Sogdiana Sport Complex (Jizzakh)

Referee: Tantashev I. (Uzb)


	Sogdiana Jizzakh		Dinamo Samarqand

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.2	3.1
	2.02	3.4	3.05
	1.85	3.8	4.01
	3.94	3.87	1.76	Watch
	2.09	3.58	3.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.27)	3.57 ↑ (3.15)	3.03 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sogdiana Jizzakh
40.7%

Draw
27.2%

Dinamo Samarqand
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

29.2%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

30.7%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sogdiana Jizzakh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Dinamo Samarqand has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sogdiana Jizzakh than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dinamo Samarqand than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	20%	10%

Sogdiana Jizzakh - Dinamo Samarqand Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Sogdiana will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Dinamo Samarqand will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sogdiana: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Sogdiana (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

1X2, 1st Half - Dinamo Samarqand (4.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Sogdiana (votes: 3 - 50%). Dinamo Samarqand (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Mitrovic M. (G) 2. Dzhuraboev Z. 7. Mustafokulov K. 13. Ivanovic F. 3. Kobilov I. 8. Izzatov S. 32. Soyibov N. 70. Jaloliddinov J. 19. Kakhramonov J. 98. Hebaj R. 14. Doriev L.	27. Nemanov E. (G) 77. Mahamadjonov M. 6. Urozov J. 18. Kucherenko O. 20. Jumaboev J. 7. Ratinho 55. Pletnev D. 8. Kodirkulov S. 10. Khozhimirzaev A. 25. Urmonjonov O. 21. Abdusalomov J.
Substitutes
10. Abdurakhmonov S. 4. Akhadov O. 28. Andreev S. 5. Jumatov B. 23. Khoshimov S. 9. Mavlonkulov S. 18. Nurmatov O. 21. Sobirov M. (G) 99. Sultonov U.	22. Abdullaev U. 16. Friday R. 12. Hoshimov A. 11. Khalilov K. 9. Mirakhmadov M. 14. Nasimov B. 23. Oblakulov B. 88. Stanojevic M. 13. Yagudin R. (G)
Coaches
Boskovic I.	Abramov V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', Kodirkulov S. 🟨,
11', Ivanovic F. 🟨,
26', Mahamadjonov M. 🟨,
30', 0 - 1, Mahamadjonov M. ⚽,
45', Ratinho ↓, Oblakulov B. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Izzatov S. ↓, Abdurakhmonov S. ↑,
54', Urmonjonov O. 🟨,
56', Dzhuraboev Z. ↓, Nurmatov O. ↑,
61', Urmonjonov O. ↓, Friday R. ↑,
61', Kodirkulov S. ↓, Stanojevic M. ↑,
69', Hebaj R. ↓, Mavlonkulov S. ↑,
69', Jaloliddinov J. ↓, Andreev S. ↑,
72', Soyibov N. 🟨,
78', Mavlonkulov S. 🟨,
79', Jumaboev J. 🟨,
81', Soyibov N. ↓, Akhadov O. ↑,
84', Abdusalomov J. ↓, Khalilov K. ↑,
84', Khozhimirzaev A. ↓, Mirakhmadov M. ↑,
90+12', 1 - 1, Doriev L. (Pen),

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 3).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sogdiana won 3.

Sogdiana has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Dinamo Samarqand is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Dinamo Samarqand has had a series of home games.

Sogdiana is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Sogdiana won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:16. (average 1.5:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Sogdiana won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 2:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sogdiana Jizzakh
Uzbek League
15.08.25	Pakhtakor - Sogdiana Jizzakh	2:0 ✺
10.08.25	Sogdiana Jizzakh - Mashal Mubarek	2:0 ✺
06.08.25	Navbahor Namangan - Sogdiana Jizzakh	1:1 ✺
02.08.25	Sogdiana Jizzakh - Nasaf Qarshi	1:2 ✺
04.07.25	Sogdiana Jizzakh - Kokand 1912	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWTLW
- Dinamo Samarqand
Uzbek League
16.08.25	Dinamo Samarqand - AGMK	1:0 ✺
11.08.25	Dinamo Samarqand - Pakhtakor	1:1 ✺
06.08.25	Mashal Mubarek - Dinamo Samarqand	2:4 ✺
02.08.25	Dinamo Samarqand - Navbahor Namangan	2:2 ✺
06.07.25	Dinamo Samarqand - Nasaf Qarshi	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Uzbek League
12.04.25	Dinamo Samarqand - Sogdiana Jizzakh	1:1
30.11.24	Dinamo Samarqand - Sogdiana Jizzakh	1:0
28.06.24	Sogdiana Jizzakh - Dinamo Samarqand	4:2
11.08.22	Dinamo Samarqand - Sogdiana Jizzakh	1:2
11.03.22	Sogdiana Jizzakh - Dinamo Samarqand	1:0
29.10.19	Sogdiana Jizzakh - Dinamo Samarqand	3:0
13.04.19	Dinamo Samarqand - Sogdiana Jizzakh	1:0

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