The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Dinamo Samarqand 21.2%
Draw 24.8%
Pakhtakor 54%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.1%
26.9%
45%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.7%
26.5%
45.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dinamo Samarqand has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dinamo Samarqand's form might have worsened.
Pakhtakor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pakhtakor's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dinamo Samarqand than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dinamo Samarqand, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pakhtakor than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pakhtakor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
14.3%
85.7%
Dinamo Samarqand - Pakhtakor Predictions
Users Predictions:
Pakhtakor will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%). Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Nemanov E. (G) 2. Radayev A. 3. Stefan M. 26. Stanojevic M. (C) 20. Jumaboev J. 30. Hajdarevic H. 24. Khudoyberdiev A. 25. Ormonjonov O. 21. Abdusalomov J. 37. Abdurakhmonov F. 8. Amonov A.
35. Kuvvatov S. (G) 8. Saitov D. 10. Mozgovoy A. 55. Abdumazhidov M. 34. Nasrullaev S. 23. Buriev A. 27. Sobirkhuzhaev S. (C) 50. Flamarion 9. Ibrokhimov I. 11. Erkinov K. 90. Chinedu S.
Substitutes
19. Avanesyan T. 18. Djeparov R. 16. Dumbuya A. 71. Karimov S. (G) 44. Khaydarov A. 17. Mustafoev S. 77. Oblakulov B. 4. Tukhtasinov N. 15. Yuldashev R.
20. Abdullaev D. 7. Alizhonov K. 77. Bozorov O. 29. Hussein A. 22. Karimov M. 17. Khamdamov D. 6. Mirkobilov S. 12. Nazarov V. (G) 21. Resan B.
Coaches
Abramov V.
Tadzhiev K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
45+2', Buriev A. 🟨,
45+2', Amonov A. 🟨,
45+3', Ibrokhimov I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Abdusalomov J. ↓, Yuldashev R. ↑,
57', Khudoyberdiev A. ↓, Avanesyan T. ↑,
58', Ormonjonov O. 🟨,
60', 0 - 1, Erkinov K. ⚽,
67', Amonov A. ↓, Oblakulov B. ↑,
67', Hajdarevic H. ↓, Khaydarov A. ↑,
67', Ormonjonov O. ↓, Tukhtasinov N. ↑,
76', Erkinov K. ↓, Resan B. ↑,
76', Chinedu S. ↓, Hussein A. ↑,
85', 1 - 1, Abdurakhmonov F. ⚽,
90+2', Flamarion ↓, Khamdamov D. ↑,
90+2', Ibrokhimov I. ↓, Alizhonov K. ↑,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dinamo Samarqand won 1.
In recent matches, Dinamo Samarqand has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Pakhtakor is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Dinamo Samarqand may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Pakhtakor could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Dinamo Samarqand won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 16:35. (average 0.9:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Dinamo Samarqand won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:15. (average 0.9:1.7).
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Nemanov E. (G) 
Radayev A. 
Stefan M. 
Stanojevic M. (C) 
Hajdarevic H. 
Flamarion 
Chinedu S. 
Avanesyan T. 
Dumbuya A. 
Hussein A. 
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