Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 26

Date: 14 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Fosshaugane Campus (Sogndal) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Hauge S. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Norway	19:00	TV2 Play


	Sogndal		Odd

	1	X	2
	3.8	4.2	1.75
	3.40	4.10	1.78
	3.75	4.05	1.75
	4.25	4.31	1.76
	3.8	4.3	1.76	Watch
	4.2	4	1.74
	3.81	4.21	1.76	Watch
	3.55	4.05	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.82 ↑ (2.95)	4.15 ↑ (4)	1.75 ↓ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sogndal
24.4%

Draw
22.4%

Odd
53.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.6%

23.3%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

22.8%

46.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sogndal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sogndal's form might have worsened.

Odd has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Odd's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sogndal than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sogndal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Odd than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Odd, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Sogndal - Odd Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (2.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Odd will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jendal L. (G) 4. Hovland E. (C) 14. Haruna J. 35. Hillestad E. L. 88. Onyango R. 7. Woxen H. 16. Vapne L. 10. Skaanes K. 32. Oren M. 15. Helen O. 19. Pippola T.	1. Erlandsson T. (G) 20. Simenstad G. 5. Bonnesen H. (C) 6. Vadstrup J. 13. Skjeldal S. 7. Jorgensen F. 8. Soderberg D. 10. Rasmussen V. 22. Andersen K. 9. Bojadzic S. 28. Tewelde F.
Substitutes
9. Arierhi K. 20. Asp P. 24. Bieszczad K. (G) 39. Flo E. 3. Flo F. 8. Gausdal L. 18. Hagen V. 5. Harrison K. 11. Mensah E.	18. Aas S. 17. Ambrose G. 11. Glenna C. 23. Kojo N. 26. Mugeese Z. 24. Oines S. (G) 15. Skau O.
Coaches
Bakke E.	Frandsen P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Andersen K. ⚽, Skjeldal S. (A),
18', Vadstrup J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Woxen H. ↓, Arierhi K. ↑,
60', Haruna J. 🟨,
64', Haruna J. ↓, Flo F. ↑,
64', Hillestad E. L. ↓, Gausdal L. ↑,
74', Rasmussen V. ↓, Kojo N. ↑,
75', Helen O. ↓, Asp P. ↑,
84', Andersen K. ↓, Aas S. ↑,
84', Tewelde F. ↓, Glenna C. ↑,
85', Oren M. ↓, Flo E. ↑,
88', Simenstad G. 🟨,
90+2', Arierhi K. 🟨,
90+3', Glenna C. 🟨,

Preview

A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 14th in the OBOS - ligaen (Relegation) and 5th in the Promotion - OBOS - ligaen (Promotion - Playoffs - Quarter - finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sogndal won 2.

Sogndal is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Odd is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Odd may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Sogndal has faced a series of away games on the road.

Odd is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Sogndal has recorded 4 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:17 (averaging 1.2:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Sogndal against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 6:7 goals (averaging 1:1.2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Odd ✔	28	13	6	9	54:43	11	45
12	Sogndal	28	8	6	14	47:61	-14	30

Last Results with these Odds

Odd - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 45.06%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sogndal Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
11.10.26	Åsane - Sogndal	2:1 ✺
20.09.26	Stabæk - Sogndal	2:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
16.09.26	Sotra - Sogndal	1:2 penalties ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
13.09.26	Sogndal - Strømmen	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Haugesund - Sogndal	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLWTL
- Odds BK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
11.10.26	Odd - Bryne	2:1 ✺
03.10.26	Hødd - Odd	2:3 ✺
20.09.26	Odd - Egersund	5:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
16.09.26	Notodden - Odd	2:3 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
13.09.26	Raufoss - Odd	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
06.04.26	Odd - Sogndal	4:0
01.11.25	Odd - Sogndal	1:4
28.04.25	Sogndal - Odd	3:2
Norwegian Eliteserien
06.08.17	Odd - Sogndal	2:1
18.06.17	Sogndal - Odd	0:0
30.10.16	Odd - Sogndal	3:1
20.04.16	Sogndal - Odd	0:1

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