Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 13

Date: 28 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Åråsen Stadion (Lillestrøm)

Referee: Kellerhals M. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1


	Lillestrøm SK		Sogndal

	1	X	2
	1.29	6	7.5	Watch
	1.25	5.75	8.5
				Watch
	1.29	6.03	8.55
				Watch
	1.25	5.5	8.5
	1.28	6.1	8.6	Watch
	1.28	5	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 (1.27)	5.73 ↑ (5.4)	8.28 ↓ (8.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lillestrøm SK
72.7%

Draw
16.1%

Sogndal
11.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.2%

17%

10.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lillestrøm SK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Sogndal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Lillestrøm SK - Sogndal Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Lillestrøm SK will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lillestrøm SK will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Hedenstad M. (G) 64. Larsson E. 28. Gabrielsen R. (C) 4. Garnas E. B. 11. Elkaer F. 8. Karlsbakk M. 6. Hoff V. 17. Kitolano E. 15. Drammeh S. 10. Olsen T. 23. Asen G.	1. Jendal L. (G) 88. Onyango R. 33. Granheim S. A. 13. Flo P. (C) 17. Sjolstad M. 6. Hoyland M. 16. Vapne L. 10. Skaanes K. 31. Nundal J. 9. Hintsa O. 7. Pedersen S.
Substitutes
9. Arierhi K. 33. Diop M. 5. Foss S. 1. Hagerup S. (G) 18. Krygard K. 2. Ranger L. 19. Tonnesen K. 27. Waehler M. 32. Woxen H.	2. Bras D. 8. Flaten J. 18. Hagen V. 14. Haruna J. 11. Mensah E. 32. Oren M. 21. Saetren D. (G)
Coaches
Odegaard H.	Pimenta L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Gabrielsen R. 🟨,
33', Hoff V. 🟨,
35', Pedersen S. ↓, Flaten J. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Nundal J. ↓, Mensah E. ↑,
48', Flo P. ↓, Oren M. ↑,
58', Larsson E. ↓, Ranger L. ↑,
58', Asen G. ↓, Arierhi K. ↑,
58', Garnas E. B. ↓, Foss S. ↑,
75', Foss S. 🟨,
79', Hoyland M. 🟨,
80', Olsen T. ↓, Diop M. ↑,
83', Foss S. ↓, Tonnesen K. ↑,
90+7', Mensah E. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Eliteserien and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lillestrøm won 4.

Lillestrøm is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sogndal's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Lillestrøm may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Lillestrøm is the obvious favorite.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Lillestrøm won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 23:12. (average 1.5:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Lillestrøm won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 1.4:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lillestrøm SK
Norwegian NM Cup
25.06.25	Lillestrøm SK - KFUM-Kameratene Oslo	2:0 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
21.06.25	Ranheim - Lillestrøm SK	0:4 ✺
18.06.25	Lillestrøm SK - Åsane	2:2 ✺
14.06.25	Hødd - Lillestrøm SK	2:2 ✺
31.05.25	Lillestrøm SK - Egersund	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWTTW
- Sogndal Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
22.06.25	Sogndal - Lyn	1:2 ✺
18.06.25	Skeid - Sogndal	1:4 ✺
14.06.25	Kongsvinger - Sogndal	4:2 ✺
31.05.25	Sogndal - Raufoss	2:2 ✺
25.05.25	Egersund - Sogndal	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian NM Cup
12.03.23	Sogndal - Lillestrøm SK	1:2
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
04.11.20	Sogndal - Lillestrøm SK	0:1
04.08.20	Lillestrøm SK - Sogndal	0:2
Club Friendly
27.01.18	Sogndal - Lillestrøm SK	1:4
Norwegian Eliteserien
15.10.17	Lillestrøm SK - Sogndal	1:0
30.04.17	Sogndal - Lillestrøm SK	0:1
Club Friendly
09.03.17	Lillestrøm SK - Sogndal	4:0

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