Match Info

Date: 9 October 2022, Sunday

Location: Fosshaugane Campus (Sogndal)

Referee: Medic A. (Nor)


	Sogndal		Stjørdals-Blink

	1	X	2
	1.4	5	6.5
	1.41	4.8	5.75
	1.42	4.65	6.55
	1.39	4.9	6
	1.43	5.05	6.52
	1.38	4.5	6
	1.41	5	6.2
	1.4	5	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.7)	4.86 ↑ (3.78)	6.19 ↑ (4.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sogndal
66%

Draw
19.1%

Stjørdals-Blink
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

24%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9%

23%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sogndal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sogndal's performance.

Stjørdals-Blink has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stjørdals-Blink might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sogndal than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sogndal that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stjørdals-Blink than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stjørdals-Blink could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	6.7%	13.3%

Sogndal - Stjørdals Blink Predictions

Users Predictions: Sogndal will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 9 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Sogndal is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Stjørdals-Blink has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Sogndal is indisputable favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sogndal won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Sogndal won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sogndal Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
03.10.22	Kongsvinger - Sogndal	0:0 ✺
17.09.22	Sogndal - Ranheim	2:0 ✺
11.09.22	Bryne - Sogndal	3:3 ✺
05.09.22	Sogndal - Skeid	0:1 ✺
27.08.22	Fredrikstad - Sogndal	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TWTLL
- Stjørdals-Blink IL
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
02.10.22	Brann - Stjørdals-Blink	5:0 ✺
17.09.22	Stjørdals-Blink - Mjøndalen	1:2 ✺
11.09.22	Start - Stjørdals-Blink	3:1 ✺
05.09.22	Stjørdals-Blink - Kongsvinger	1:4 ✺
27.08.22	Stjørdals-Blink - Åsane	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
26.05.22	Stjørdals-Blink - Sogndal	1:3
01.11.21	Sogndal - Stjørdals-Blink	1:1
19.05.21	Stjørdals-Blink - Sogndal	2:1
21.09.20	Sogndal - Stjørdals-Blink	3:2
14.08.20	Stjørdals-Blink - Sogndal	2:2

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