Match Info

NORWAY: OBOS-LIGAEN - ROUND 23

Date: 17 September 2023, Sunday

Location: Fredrikstad Stadion (Fredrikstad)

Referee: Bodding A. (Nor)


	Fredrikstad		Sogndal

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.6	4.33	Watch
	1.8	3.75	4.2
	1.85	3.82	4.11
	1.67	3.6	4
	1.79	3.9	4.15	Watch
	1.73	3.75	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.85)	3.74 ↑ (3.57)	4.15 ↑ (3.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fredrikstad
52.5%

Draw
25%

Sogndal
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

26.1%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6%

25.4%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fredrikstad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Sogndal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fredrikstad than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sogndal than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Fredrikstad - Sogndal Predictions

Users Predictions: Fredrikstad will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jensen H. (G) 22. Woledzi M. 26. Nielsen M. 6. Aukland P. 12. Metcalfe P. 13. Sorlokk S. 19. Magnusson J. (C) 7. Hendriksson B. 4. Molde S. 29. Aga O. 14. Bjartalid J.	1. Fij R. (G) 11. Hoven A. 4. Arrocha D. (C) 26. van der Spa A. 17. Sjolstad M. 10. Skaanes K. 20. Twum I. 15. Nesso K. 7. Jonsson J. 8. Ingimundarson V. 27. Orjasaeter S.
Substitutes
11. Alba R. 20. Asheim H. 18. Begby L. 2. Bjorkstrom T. 9. Johansen H. 16. Konte A. 25. Langbraten O. (G) 27. Lassen M. 3. Skaret B.	77. Borgborsson O. 30. Flataker E. 3. Gueye M. 23. Nord A. 31. Nundal J. 29. Steinset K. 21. Sundling J. (G)
Coaches
Thomassen M.	Flo T.

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Eliteserien and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fredrikstad won 4.

Fredrikstad is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sogndal is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Fredrikstad could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Fredrikstad is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Fredrikstad won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 17-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Fredrikstad won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fredrikstad FK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
03.09.23	Start - Fredrikstad	2:2 ✺
27.08.23	Fredrikstad - Hødd	1:0 ✺
23.08.23	Kongsvinger - Fredrikstad	1:2 ✺
20.08.23	Fredrikstad - Kristiansund	4:1 ✺
13.08.23	KFUM-Kameratene Oslo - Fredrikstad	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TWWWL
- Sogndal Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
02.09.23	Sogndal - Ranheim	1:2 ✺
27.08.23	Sogndal - Skeid	2:0 ✺
23.08.23	Raufoss - Sogndal	3:0 ✺
19.08.23	Sogndal - Kongsvinger	3:3 ✺
13.08.23	Start - Sogndal	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
24.06.23	Sogndal - Fredrikstad	0:1
27.08.22	Fredrikstad - Sogndal	5:2
07.07.22	Sogndal - Fredrikstad	1:1
12.09.21	Fredrikstad - Sogndal	2:1
26.05.21	Sogndal - Fredrikstad	1:2
13.08.15	Fredrikstad - Sogndal	1:1
31.05.15	Sogndal - Fredrikstad	2:0

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