Match Info

POLAND: III Liga - Group II - Round 24

Date: 6 April 2024, Saturday


	Sokół Kleczew		Luzino

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.4	5.25
	1.44	4.47	5.13
	1.45	4.51	5.18
	1.43	4.6	5.56	Watch
	1.57	4	3.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.8)	4.4 ↑ (4.05)	5.01 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sokół Kleczew
61.5%

Draw
20.5%

Luzino
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

22.3%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

21.4%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sokół Kleczew has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sokół Kleczew's performance.

Luzino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Luzino might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sokół Kleczew than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sokół Kleczew that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luzino than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luzino could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sokół Kleczew - Luzino Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Machalek K. ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 1, Chilinski K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
78', 1 - 2, Mienik D. ⚽,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Kleczew is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Luzino is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Kleczew could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Kleczew is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Kleczew to win the game is with odds 1.61.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Kleczew won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sokół Kleczew
Polish Division 3 - Group II
30.03.24	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Sokół Kleczew	1:1 ✺
23.03.24	Sokół Kleczew - Noteć Czarnków	2:2 ✺
16.03.24	Starogard Gdański - Sokół Kleczew	0:3 ✺
09.03.24	Sokół Kleczew - Gedania Gdańsk	3:2 ✺
02.03.24	Pogoń Szczecin II - Sokół Kleczew	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 TTWWW
- KTS-K Luzino
Polish Division 3 - Group II
29.03.24	Luzino - Noteć Czarnków	1:2 ✺
22.03.24	Gedania Gdańsk - Luzino	1:1 ✺
16.03.24	Luzino - Swit Skolwin	0:1 ✺
10.03.24	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Luzino	3:1 ✺
01.03.24	Luzino - Vineta Wolin	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
08.09.23	Luzino - Sokół Kleczew	0:0

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