Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 7

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday


	Gedania Gdańsk		Luzino

	1	X	2
	4.60	4.60	1.46
	4.90	4.10	1.48
	3.71	5.03	1.55
	4.47	4.61	1.53	Watch
	3.65	4.95	1.53
	4.88	4.88	1.49	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.37 ↓ (6.4)	4.7 ↑ (4.5)	1.51 ↑ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gedania Gdańsk
20.7%

Draw
19.3%

Luzino
60%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.9%

19.8%

66.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.6%

19.4%

67.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gedania Gdańsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gedania Gdańsk's performance.

Luzino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Luzino might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gedania Gdańsk than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gedania Gdańsk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luzino than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luzino could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gedania Gdańsk - Luzino Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45', 0 - 1, Szalecki D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
47', 0 - 2, Sawicki W. ⚽,
64', 0 - 3, Karlikowski M. ⚽,
68', 0 - 4, Konkol D. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 3).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Gedania may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Luzino is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Gedania won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Gedania won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Luzino	11	8	1	2	31:13	18	25
14	Gedania Gdansk	11	2	5	4	23:24	-1	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gedania Gdańsk
Polish Division 3 - Group II
28.08.26	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Gedania Gdańsk	4:3 ✺
23.08.26	Gedania Gdańsk - Lech Poznań 2	2:3 ✺
19.08.26	Kluczevia Stargard - Gedania Gdańsk	2:2 ✺
15.08.26	Gedania Gdańsk - Wda Świecie	1:1 ✺
31.07.26	Gedania Gdańsk - Noteć Czarnków	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LLTTW
- KTS-K Luzino
Polish Cup
02.09.26	Luzino - Wisła Płock	2:3 ✺
Polish Division 3 - Group II
28.08.26	Luzino - Lipno Stęszew	2:1 ✺
23.08.26	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Luzino	2:1 ✺
19.08.26	Luzino - Chemik Bydgoszcz	3:1 ✺
14.08.26	Września - Luzino	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
22.03.24	Gedania Gdańsk - Luzino	1:1
Club Friendly
20.01.24	Gedania Gdańsk - Luzino	2:1
Polish Division 3 - Group II
27.08.23	Luzino - Gedania Gdańsk	1:2
Club Friendly
26.07.23	Luzino - Gedania Gdańsk	3:3

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