Match Info

FNL - Round 8

Date: 3 September 2025, Wednesday

Location: Stadion Lokomotiv (Saratov)

Referee: Kashirin D. (Rus)


	Sokol Saratov		KAMAZ

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.03	2.33
	2.9	2.95	2.76	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↑ (3.01)	2.99 ↑ (2.87)	2.55 ↓ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sokol Saratov
30.1%

Draw
32.2%

KAMAZ
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

32.9%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

33.9%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sokol Saratov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

KAMAZ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sokol Saratov than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KAMAZ than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	50%	33.3%

Sokol Saratov - KAMAZ Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Sokol Saratov will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). KAMAZ will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Sokol Saratov (votes: 1 - 33.3%). KAMAZ (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - KAMAZ (1.81) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Sokol Saratov (votes: 2 - 33.3%). KAMAZ (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kraykov T. (G) 51. Sinyak A. 23. Churikov I. 6. Pechenkin N. 5. Kovacevic V. 33. Gloydman N. 55. Bykov A. 70. Daurov R. 17. Mukhin A. 25. Bakharev G. 9. Shpitalnyi V.	31. Anisimov A. (G) 7. Ayukin R. 3. Marugin D. 6. Kalistratov T. 21. Yudintsev G. 19. Golybin R. 10. Zashchepkin R. 11. Apekov R. 2. Khubaev D. 28. Sultonov M. 9. Karaev D.
Substitutes
19. Butaev A. 64. Dolya A. 27. Egorushkin A. 69. Ermolin R. 10. Gribov S. 92. Kostin V. 18. Lazarev V. 36. Levashov M. (G) 42. Shaykhtdinov D.	14. Abdullaev S. 53. Deryugin A. 8. Dolgopolov E. 27. Manuylov R. 5. Ratnikov S. 22. Solodukhin A. 30. Zamerets E. (G)
Coaches
Kascelan M.	Akhmetzyanov I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', Bakharev G. 🟨,
35', 0 - 1, Apekov R. (Pen),
45', Karaev D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', Bykov A. ↓, Butaev A. ↑,
72', Karaev D. ↓, Abdullaev S. ↑,
75', Khubaev D. 🟨,
82', Daurov R. ↓, Ermolin R. ↑,
84', Abdullaev S. 🟨,
87', Gloydman N. ↓, Gribov S. ↑,
87', Sultonov M. ↓, Manuylov R. ↑,
87', Apekov R. ↓, Ratnikov S. ↑,
90', Golybin R. ↓, Deryugin A. ↑,
90+2', Ayukin R. 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,
90+6', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sokol Saratov won 2.

Sokol Saratov is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

KAMAZ is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Sokol Saratov won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Sokol Saratov won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sokol Saratov
Russian FNL
30.08.25	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Sokol Saratov	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	Chelyabinsk - Sokol Saratov	3:1 ✺
16.08.25	Sokol Saratov - Rotor	1:1 ✺
09.08.25	Sokol Saratov - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	1:1 ✺
03.08.25	Fakel - Sokol Saratov	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLTTL
- KAMAZ Naberezhnye Chelny
Russian FNL
30.08.25	SKA Khabarovsk - KAMAZ	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	KAMAZ - Ufa	3:1 ✺
17.08.25	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - KAMAZ	1:3 ✺
11.08.25	KAMAZ - Fakel	1:2 ✺
02.08.25	KAMAZ - Chelyabinsk	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
09.11.24	KAMAZ - Sokol Saratov	3:1
27.07.24	Sokol Saratov - KAMAZ	1:0
25.05.24	KAMAZ - Sokol Saratov	1:2
09.09.23	Sokol Saratov - KAMAZ	1:1
16.03.16	Sokol Saratov - KAMAZ	0:0
23.08.15	KAMAZ - Sokol Saratov	3:0

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