Match Info

FNL - Round 11

Date: 14 September 2026, Monday

Location: KAMAZ Stadium (Naberezhnye Chelny)

Referee: Falov V. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belarus	Sport TV
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	KAMAZ		Chelyabinsk

	1	X	2
	2.02	3.25	4.14
	2	3.2	4.05
	1.9	3.25	4.25	Watch
	1.91	3.05	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.32)	3.19 ↑ (2.98)	4.04 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KAMAZ
47.6%

Draw
29.3%

Chelyabinsk
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

30.7%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

28.5%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KAMAZ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in KAMAZ's performance.

Chelyabinsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chelyabinsk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KAMAZ than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with KAMAZ that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelyabinsk than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chelyabinsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

KAMAZ - Chelyabinsk Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. KAMAZ will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. KAMAZ (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Anisimov A. (G) 7. Ayukin R. (C) 27. Manuylov R. 67. Tkachuk R. 15. Burko M. 18. Popov A. 2. Khubaev D. 37. Voronin E. 76. Sukhanov A. 79. Semenov V. 10. Zashchepkin R.	1. Lomaev I. (G) 27. Gribakin I. 15. Kochiev K. (C) 21. Berdnikov A. 70. Levin G. 18. Kertanov K. 77. Samoilov D. 55. Borisov G. 10. Gadzhimuradov R. 99. Kamenshchikov D. 7. Safronov I.
Substitutes
99. Akbashev R. 19. Bogdanets M. 8. Dolgopolov E. 65. Gulko I. 6. Kalistratov T. 11. Kokotun A. 83. Laykin M. 9. Moseychuk I. 13. Rybalchenko N. (G) 96. Shavel M. 22. Solodukhin A. 30. Zamerets E. (G)	72. Bem A. 74. Kacorri L. 50. Lystsov V. 6. Makarov S. 17. N'Diaye B. 31. Pereverzev M. (G) 33. Pokotylo D. 24. Pridava N. 23. Rogochiy B. 93. Tuseev I. (G)
Coaches
Khazov A.	Pilipchuk R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
61', Kertanov K. ↓, Pokotylo D. ↑,
67', Pokotylo D. 🟨,
70', Sukhanov A. ↓, Akbashev R. ↑,
72', Zashchepkin R. 🟨,
75', 🟨,
76', Kamenshchikov D. ↓, Kacorri L. ↑,
80', Zashchepkin R. ↓, Laykin M. ↑,
80', Voronin E. ↓, Solodukhin A. ↑,
84', Burko M. ↓, Kalistratov T. ↑,
87', Borisov G. ↓, Makarov S. ↑,
90', Kochiev K. 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 0, Laykin M. (Penalty Awarded),
90+4', 1 - 1, Gadzhimuradov R. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KAMAZ won 3.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

KAMAZ will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, KAMAZ won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 28:24. (average 1.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, KAMAZ won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:12. (average 2:1.2).

Outrights of Russian FNL for now

Kamaz: 0.78% Chelyabinsk: 0.78%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Chelyabinsk	12	3	3	6	13:19	-6	12
16	Kamaz	12	2	3	7	11:19	-8	9

Last Results with these Odds

Chelyabinsk - the odds 3.05 are the expected chance of winning is 29.96%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KAMAZ Naberezhnye Chelny
Russian Cup
09.09.26	Dynamo Kirov - KAMAZ	1:0 ✺
Russian FNL
06.09.26	Ural - KAMAZ	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	Leningradets - KAMAZ	0:1 ✺
24.08.26	KAMAZ - Sochi	2:3 ✺
19.08.26	KAMAZ - Tekstilshchik Ivanovo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLWLL
- FC Chelyabinsk
Russian Cup
10.09.26	Dynamo Barnaul - Chelyabinsk	0:2 ✺
Russian FNL
05.09.26	Chelyabinsk - Spartak Kostroma	0:1 ✺
30.08.26	Sochi - Chelyabinsk	2:1 ✺
23.08.26	Leningradets - Chelyabinsk	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Chelyabinsk - Torpedo Moscow	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
16.11.25	Chelyabinsk - KAMAZ	3:3
Russian Cup
28.10.25	Chelyabinsk - KAMAZ	0:1 penalties
Russian FNL
02.08.25	KAMAZ - Chelyabinsk	2:1
Club Friendly
03.07.21	KAMAZ - Chelyabinsk	1:1
Russian FNL 2 Group 4
04.04.21	KAMAZ - Chelyabinsk	3:1
Russian PFL Ural-Povolzhye
20.10.19	Chelyabinsk - KAMAZ	4:2
16.08.19	KAMAZ - Chelyabinsk	3:1

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