Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 8

Date: 14 September 2025, Sunday


	Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna		Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów

	1	X	2
	2.05	4.15	2.62
	2.01	3.72	3	Watch
	2.75	3.7	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.65)	3.86 ↑ (3.55)	2.62 ↑ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna
40.8%

Draw
24%

Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

25.2%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

24.4%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna's performance.

Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna - Pogoń Sokół Lubaczów Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
5', 1 - 0, Mikrut F. ⚽,
33', 1 - 1, Polowiec F. ⚽,
41', 1 - 2, Imiela A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
48', 1 - 3, Majda O. ⚽,
59', 1 - 4, Ziemnik L. ⚽,
90', 2 - 4, Serwinski S. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Kolbuszowa Dolna is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Lubaczów has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Lubaczów may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Kolbuszowa Dolna is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
05.09.25	Wisłoka Dębica - Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna	1:0 ✺
30.08.25	Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna - Sparta Kazimierza Wielka	1:1 ✺
27.08.25	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna	3:0 ✺
22.08.25	Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna - Wisła II Kraków	1:2 ✺
16.08.25	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LTLLW
- Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
06.09.25	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów - Naprzód Jędrzejów	1:0 ✺
31.08.25	Stal Kraśnik - Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	2:2 ✺
27.08.25	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów - Wiślanie Skawina	5:1 ✺
23.08.25	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	2:2 ✺
16.08.25	Cracovia 2 - Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WTWTL

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