Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 5

Date: 23 August 2026, Sunday


	Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna		Siarka Tarnobrzeg

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.25	2.45
	2.45	3.35	2.42
	2.44	3.26	2.54
	2.47	3.39	2.55	Watch
	2.4	3.2	2.5
	2.38	3.42	2.5	Watch
	3.14	3.41	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↓ (3.14)	3.33 ↓ (3.41)	2.41 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna
35.6%

Draw
27.1%

Siarka Tarnobrzeg
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.2%

26%

45.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.6%

24.5%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna's performance.

Siarka Tarnobrzeg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Siarka Tarnobrzeg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Siarka Tarnobrzeg than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Siarka Tarnobrzeg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna - Siarka Tarnobrzeg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Wiktor B. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Kolbuszowa Dolna won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 3:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Kolbuszowa Dolna won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	11	4	2	5	14:15	-1	14
11	Kolbuszowa Dolna	11	2	7	2	12:12	0	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
19.08.26	Wieczysta II - Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna	1:1 ✺
14.08.26	Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna - Wisłoka Dębica	1:2 ✺
08.08.26	Chełmianka Chełm - Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna	2:0 ✺
01.08.26	JKS Jarosław - Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
24.07.26	Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna - Czarni Połaniec	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TLLTW
- Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
19.08.26	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - JKS Jarosław	1:3 ✺
15.08.26	Busko-Zdrój - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1:4 ✺
08.08.26	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Czarni Połaniec	0:1 ✺
02.08.26	Hetman Zamość - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
11.07.26	Wisłoka Dębica - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
28.02.26	Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	4:1
16.08.25	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna	0:2

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