Match Info

Division 1 - Norra - Round 20

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Sollentunavallen (Sollentuna)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Ettan Play


	Sollentuna		Gefle

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.40	3.20	2.50
	2.43	3.20	2.55
	2.55	3.35	2.61
	2.55	3.43	2.59	Watch
	2.50	3.25	2.55
	2.45	3.26	2.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (2.42)	3.28 ↑ (3.25)	2.56 ↓ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sollentuna
36.7%

Draw
27.7%

Gefle
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

27.7%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

27.9%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sollentuna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Gefle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sollentuna than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gefle than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Sollentuna - Gefle Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Blumenthal V. (G) 12. Aras U. (C) 3. Axelsson C. 7. Backstrom J. 17. Danho J. 9. Grauberg K. 6. Kack O. 18. Lundell E. 11. Nkubiri S. 14. Rosenquist F. 5. Zeberga J.	1. Croon M. (G) 4. Hansemon T. 5. Ismail D. (C) 16. Nehrman R. 24. Persson K. 19. Sipic A. 18. Spangberg M. 11. Vikgren L. 14. Yaldir D. 9. Zahirovic A. 77. Zulum S.
Substitutes
19. Ennart L. 1. Franck O. (G) 20. Huaiquio A. 2. Johansson L. 16. Josefsberg N. 24. Karlsson E. 10. Rashidi D.	10. Ali Batti V. 6. Edman I. 22. Hedvall W. (G) 23. Lundstrom N. 3. Myrttinen K. 20. Sugita Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', Zeberga J. 🟨,
29', 1 - 0, Backstrom J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Danho J. ↓, Johansson L. ↑,
74', Spangberg M. ↓, Lundstrom N. ↑,
75', Zeberga J. ↓, Josefsberg N. ↑,
76', Grauberg K. ↓, Ennart L. ↑,
81', Backstrom J. 🟨,
84', Sipic A. ↓, Edman I. ↑,
87', Persson K. ↓, Myrttinen K. ↑,
90+2', Backstrom J. ↓, Karlsson E. ↑,
90+3', Hansemon T. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 in the zone Division 1 ~ Relegation (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sollentuna won 1.

Sollentuna has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Gefle is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Sollentuna won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 11:24. (average 0.9:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Sollentuna won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.3:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Gefle	25	9	3	13	29:43	-14	30
13	Sollentuna	25	5	9	11	24:36	-12	24

Last Results with these Odds

Sollentuna - the odds 2.42 are the expected chance of winning is 37.25%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sollentuna FK
Swedish Division 1 Norra
29.08.26	AFC Eskilstuna - Sollentuna	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Sollentuna - Karlstad	2:1 ✺
Svenska Cupen
18.08.26	Sollentuna - Örebro	1:4 ✺
Swedish Division 1 Norra
15.08.26	Sollentuna - Järfälla	2:1 ✺
09.08.26	Assyriska Föreningen - Sollentuna	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWLWL
- Gefle IF
Swedish Division 1 Norra
29.08.26	Gefle - Karlstad	2:2 ✺
23.08.26	Assyriska Föreningen - Gefle	1:2 ✺
15.08.26	Gefle - Umeå	2:0 ✺
08.08.26	Stocksund - Gefle	5:0 ✺
01.08.26	Piteå - Gefle	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Norra
18.04.26	Gefle - Sollentuna	1:2
30.08.25	Gefle - Sollentuna	5:1
26.04.25	Sollentuna - Gefle	0:1
Svenska Cupen
22.08.23	Sollentuna - Gefle	0:1
Swedish Division 1 Norra
15.10.22	Sollentuna - Gefle	0:1
11.06.22	Gefle - Sollentuna	4:0
21.11.21	Gefle - Sollentuna	1:4

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