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Current Win Probability
Sollentuna 22.9%
Draw 25.6%
Karlstad 51.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.8%
26%
45.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.8%
25.1%
43.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sollentuna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sollentuna's form might have worsened.
Karlstad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Karlstad's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sollentuna than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sollentuna, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karlstad than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Karlstad, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Sollentuna - Karlstad Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
35. Blumenthal V. (G) 12. Aras U. (C) 7. Backstrom J. 4. Bengtsson D. 17. Danho J. 19. Ennart L. 6. Kack O. 24. Karlsson E. 25. Lundell E. 11. Nkubiri S. 14. Rosenquist F.
1. Karlsson M. (G) 8. Bark A. 2. Beko S. 7. Bellman H. (C) 9. Carstrom J. 21. Gustafsson K. 14. Hook I. 17. Jatta N. 22. Kack Ofordu K. 23. Rhose L. 6. Zurmati S.
Substitutes
9. Grauberg K. 20. Huaiquio A. 2. Johansson L. 13. Nyten N. (G) 10. Rashidi D. 3. Stregart K. 5. Zeberga J.
10. Alvers O. 11. Bengtsson J. 27. Kocys T. (G) 12. Miguel W. 16. Modou F. 24. Nfansu D. 18. Tagoe B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
21', Rhose L. 🟨,
24', 1 - 0, Rosenquist F. ⚽,
28', Gustafsson K. ↓, Tagoe B. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Carstrom J. ↓, Alvers O. ↑,
46', Karlsson E. ↓, Grauberg K. ↑,
64', Zurmati S. ↓, Bengtsson J. ↑,
64', Kack Ofordu K. ↓, Miguel W. ↑,
71', 1 - 1, Miguel W. ⚽, Alvers O. (A),
72', Rhose L. ↓, Nfansu D. ↑,
77', Lundell E. 🟨,
80', Rosenquist F. ↓, Zeberga J. ↑,
80', Ennart L. ↓, Stregart K. ↑,
89', Kack O. 🟨,
90', Danho J. ↓, Rashidi D. ↑,
90', Kack O. ↓, Johansson L. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 1, Grauberg K. ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 3).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sollentuna won 2.
Sollentuna is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Karlstad has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, Karlstad is seen as the favorite.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Sollentuna won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:20. (average 1.1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Sollentuna won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.1:1.3).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
7
Karlstad
25
11
8
6
37:25
12
41
13
Sollentuna
25
5
9
11
24:36
-12
24
Last Results with these Odds
Sollentuna - the odds 3.16 are the expected chance of winning is 28.83%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Karlstad - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 45.14%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
Sweden
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Blumenthal V. (G) 
Zurmati S. 
Grauberg K. 
Huaiquio A. 
Modou F. 
Nfansu D. 
Tagoe B. 
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