Match Info

TURKEY: 2. LIG RED GROUP - ROUND 11

Date: 28 October 2023, Saturday


	Somaspor		Denizlispor

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.8	5
	1.57	3.75	5.5	Watch
	1.56	3.78	5.79
	1.56	3.81	5.79
	1.48	3.88	5.95
	1.52	3.75	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (2.01)	3.8 ↑ (3.28)	5.57 ↑ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Somaspor
59.5%

Draw
24.1%

Denizlispor
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

27.7%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

25.1%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Somaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Somaspor's performance.

Denizlispor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Denizlispor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Somaspor than the current prediction. (-18.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Somaspor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denizlispor than the current prediction. (+13.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Denizlispor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Somaspor - Denizlispor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Lig Play Offs (Quarter~finals) and 12).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Somaspor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Somaspor is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Somaspor
Turkish Second League Red Group
22.10.23	Menemenspor - Somaspor	0:0 ✺
14.10.23	Somaspor - Igdirspor	0:2 ✺
08.10.23	Kastamonuspor - Somaspor	1:0 ✺
01.10.23	Somaspor - İnegölspor	3:3 ✺
23.09.23	Fethiyespor - Somaspor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLLTT
- Denizlispor
Turkish Second League Red Group
22.10.23	Denizlispor - Igdirspor	0:2 ✺
18.10.23	Kastamonuspor - Denizlispor	2:0 ✺
14.10.23	Denizlispor - İnegölspor	2:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
11.10.23	Denizlispor - Burhaniye	2:3 ✺
Turkish Second League Red Group
08.10.23	Fethiyespor - Denizlispor	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLWLL

Somaspor - Denizlispor: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide