Match Info

TURKEY: 2. Lig Red Group - Round 19

Date: 26 January 2025, Sunday


	Somaspor		Serik Belediyespor

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.1	1.85
	4.2	3.5	1.8
	4.65	3.26	1.81
	4.08	3.32	1.85	Watch
	3.87	3.26	1.94
	4.2	3.5	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.13 ↓ (4.64)	3.32 ↓ (3.41)	1.84 ↑ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Somaspor
22.3%

Draw
27.7%

Serik Belediyespor
50%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.3%

26.2%

54.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.4%

25%

57.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Somaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Serik Belediyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Somaspor than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Serik Belediyespor than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Serik Belediyespor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Somaspor - Serik Belediyespor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Kubalas A. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', 0 - 1, Soy E. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Somaspor
Turkish Second League Red Group
19.01.25	Yeni Diyarbakırspor - Somaspor	0:0 ✺
22.12.24	Somaspor - Giresunspor	4:0 ✺
15.12.24	Ankara Demirspor - Somaspor	2:1 ✺
08.12.24	Somaspor - Erbaaspor	1:1 ✺
30.11.24	Arnavutköy - Somaspor	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TWLTW
- Serik Belediyespor
Turkish Second League Red Group
18.01.25	Serik Belediyespor - Ankara Demirspor	2:2 ✺
22.12.24	Serik Belediyespor - Erbaaspor	3:0 ✺
15.12.24	Arnavutköy - Serik Belediyespor	1:3 ✺
08.12.24	Serik Belediyespor - Aksaray Belediyespor	1:3 ✺
30.11.24	Menemenspor - Serik Belediyespor	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League Red Group
07.09.24	Serik Belediyespor - Somaspor	1:1
23.02.22	Somaspor - Serik Belediyespor	2:1
17.10.21	Serik Belediyespor - Somaspor	1:0

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