Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 20

Date: 26 March 2026, Thursday


	Sonacos		Guédiawaye

	1	X	2
	3.75	2.96	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.75 ↑ (2.44)	2.96 ↑ (2.68)	2.02 ↓ (3.15)

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sonacos
24.3%

Draw
30.7%

Guédiawaye
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

33.9%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

34.7%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sonacos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sonacos's form might have worsened.

Guédiawaye has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guédiawaye's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sonacos than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sonacos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guédiawaye than the current prediction. (-16.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guédiawaye, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (0 - 2)

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Recent form of Sonacos has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Guédiawaye is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sonacos won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).

Including home match between the teams, Sonacos won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Guediawaye	30	7	8	15	29:34	-5	28
15	Sonacos	30	4	13	13	18:39	-21	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sonacos
Senegal Ligue 1
15.03.26	Teungueth - Sonacos	2:2 ✺
08.03.26	Sonacos - Stade de Mbour	0:2 ✺
21.02.26	AJEL de Rufisque - Sonacos	1:0 ✺
16.02.26	Sonacos - Ouakam	0:0 ✺
09.02.26	HLM - Sonacos	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TLLTT
- Guédiawaye FC
Senegal Ligue 1
17.03.26	Guédiawaye - Génération Foot	2:1 ✺
08.03.26	Linguère - Guédiawaye	1:3 ✺
01.03.26	Guédiawaye - Gorée	1:1 ✺
22.02.26	Guédiawaye - Dakar SC	3:0 ✺
14.02.26	Teungueth - Guédiawaye	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Senegal Ligue 1
30.11.25	Guédiawaye - Sonacos	1:2
07.03.25	Guédiawaye - Sonacos	1:0
28.10.22	Guédiawaye - Sonacos	0:0
02.05.18	Sonacos - Guédiawaye	2:1
04.02.18	Guédiawaye - Sonacos	1:2

Sonacos - Guédiawaye: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide