Match Info

Serie D - Group B - Round 15

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday


	Sondrio		Oltrepo

	1	X	2
	3.15	3.05	2.12
	3.06	3.31	2.15	Watch
	3.05	3.13	2.21
	3.2	3.1	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↑ (2.88)	3.15 ↓ (3.31)	2.16 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sondrio
29.1%

Draw
28.8%

Oltrepo
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

27.6%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

26.6%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sondrio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Oltrepo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sondrio than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oltrepo than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Sondrio - Oltrepo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
90+5', 1 - 0, ⚽,
90+5', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Sondrio has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Oltrepo has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Oltrepo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sondrio Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group B
30.11.25	Caldiero Terme - Sondrio	1:2 ✺
23.11.25	Sondrio - Breno	2:2 ✺
16.11.25	Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Sondrio	2:1 ✺
26.10.25	Sondrio - Chievo	0:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
22.10.25	Club Milano - Sondrio	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WTLLL
- FBC Oltrepo
Italian Serie D - Group B
30.11.25	Oltrepo - Folgore Caratese	0:2 ✺
23.11.25	Real Calepina - Oltrepo	1:2 ✺
16.11.25	Breno - Oltrepo	0:1 ✺
09.11.25	Oltrepo - Scanzorosciate	1:1 ✺
26.10.25	Oltrepo - Caldiero Terme	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 LWWTT

Sondrio - Oltrepo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide