Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 6 - Round 22

Date: 11 March 2026, Wednesday


	Soneja		Atlético Saguntino

	1	X	2
	3.49	2.86	2.25
	3.45	2.88	2.22	Watch
	3.4	2.7	2.25
	3.42	2.8	2.21
	3.14	2.9	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.38 ↓ (3.94)	2.83 ↓ (2.98)	2.24 ↑ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Soneja
27%

Draw
32.3%

Atlético Saguntino
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.1%

30.5%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.7%

26.4%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Soneja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Atlético Saguntino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Saguntino might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Soneja than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Saguntino than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Soneja - Atlético Saguntino Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 2 - 0, ⚽,
80', 🟥,
84', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 6 (Play Offs: )).

Soneja has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Saguntino is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Saguntino is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Soneja won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Soneja won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Saguntino	5	2	1	2	7:7	0	7
16	Soneja	5	1	1	3	5:9	-4	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Soneja
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
08.03.26	Villarreal C - Soneja	2:0 ✺
01.03.26	Soneja - La Nucía	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Crevillente Deportivo - Soneja	2:2 ✺
07.02.26	Soneja - Buñol	1:2 ✺
01.02.26	Utiel - Soneja	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LTTLW
- Atlético Saguntino
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
08.03.26	Atlético Saguntino - Recambios Colón	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Crevillente Deportivo - Atlético Saguntino	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Atlético Saguntino - Torrellano	2:1 ✺
08.02.26	Atlético Saguntino - Levante B	0:0 ✺
01.02.26	Buñol - Atlético Saguntino	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
05.10.25	Atlético Saguntino - Soneja	1:0
26.01.25	Soneja - Atlético Saguntino	0:0
15.09.24	Atlético Saguntino - Soneja	1:0

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