Match Info

3. Liga - Round 10

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: WIRmachenDRUCK Arena (Aspach) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Schreiner S. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Germany	14:00	Magenta Sport
International	12:00	OneFootball TV


	Sonnenhof Großaspach		Preußen Münster

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.5	2.75	Watch
	2.20	3.60	2.87
	2.18	3.5	2.85	Watch
	2.22	3.97	2.92
	2.19	3.85	2.83	Watch
	2.17	3.9	2.85
	2.13	3.52	2.83	Watch
	2.19	3.6	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.29)	3.68 ↑ (3.48)	2.85 ↑ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sonnenhof Großaspach
42.4%

Draw
25.1%

Preußen Münster
32.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.7%

26.2%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

27.6%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sonnenhof Großaspach has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Preußen Münster has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sonnenhof Großaspach than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Preußen Münster than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Sonnenhof Großaspach - Preußen Münster Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Reule M. (C) 8. Rahn E. 15. Aidonis A. 25. Nuraj A. 21. Molinari L. 11. Rossmann T. 6. Mistl C. 27. Maier L. 18. Pollex N. 23. Eisele F. 16. Kunde M.	1. Behrens M. (G) 2. Kolbe L. 16. Paetow T. (C) 5. Zeller L. 6. Adeh W. 36. Varelmann N. 3. Dietrich T. 8. Mees J. 27. Korte J. 14. Makridis C. 33. Higl F.
Substitutes
4. Bleicher F. 9. Fass M. F. 36. Gashi M. 20. Maier L. 33. Schulz T. (G) 37. Schurer L. 10. Stoppel L. 19. Uhl M. 13. Zografakis N.	44. Althaus S. 19. Demirhan M. 38. Harsmann M. (G) 28. Ndikom M. 21. Preissinger R. 43. Rosch R. 30. Schulz M. 29. Tasov L. 4. Tikvic A.
Coaches
Reinhardt P.	Worle T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
17', 0 - 1, Higl F. ⚽, Paetow T. (A),
32', Mistl C. ↓, Bleicher F. ↑,
36', Bleicher F. 🟨,
39', Zeller L. 🟨,
45', Rossmann T. 🟨,
45+1', 0 - 2, Higl F. ⚽, Zeller L. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
61', 1 - 2, Rossmann T. ⚽, Maier L. (A),
66', Zeller L. ↓, Tikvic A. ↑,
66', Makridis C. ↓, Althaus S. ↑,
66', Mees J. ↓, Ndikom M. ↑,
66', Adeh W. ↓, Tasov L. ↑,
68', Tikvic A. 🟨,
68', 2 - 2, Eisele F. ⚽,
78', Rossmann T. ↓, Maier L. ↑,
78', Bleicher F. ↓, Stoppel L. ↑,
83', 3 - 2, Eisele F. ⚽,
86', Pollex N. ↓, Zografakis N. ↑,
86', Korte J. ↓, Schulz M. ↑,

Preview

A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 18th in the Relegation and 10th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Großaspach won 1.

Recent results have been tough for Großaspach (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Münster has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Münster could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Großaspach has recorded 4 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:15 (averaging 1.5:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Großaspach against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, with 11:5 goals (averaging 1.8:0.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Preussen Munster	11	4	3	4	19:21	-2	15
16	Grossaspach	11	3	3	5	13:25	-12	12

Outrights of German 3 Bundesliga for now

Preussen Munster: 1.02%

Last Results with these Odds

Preußen Münster - the odds 2.68 are the expected chance of winning is 34.03%, but this team recently wins 8% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sonnenhof Großaspach
German 3 Bundesliga
14.10.26	Viktoria Köln - Sonnenhof Großaspach	2:2 ✺
10.10.26	Sonnenhof Großaspach - Waldhof Mannheim	1:5 ✺
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Kaiserslautern - Sonnenhof Großaspach	1:1 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
19.09.26	Saarbrücken - Sonnenhof Großaspach	2:1 ✺
15.09.26	Sonnenhof Großaspach - Verl	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TLTLT
- Preußen Münster
German 3 Bundesliga
14.10.26	Preußen Münster - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:2 ✺
09.10.26	Preußen Münster - Rot-Weiß Essen	3:3 ✺
20.09.26	Waldhof Mannheim - Preußen Münster	2:0 ✺
16.09.26	Preußen Münster - Saarbrücken	3:3 ✺
13.09.26	VfB Stuttgart II - Preußen Münster	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LTLTW

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
10.06.20	Sonnenhof Großaspach - Preußen Münster	0:0
19.10.19	Preußen Münster - Sonnenhof Großaspach	1:1
20.04.19	Preußen Münster - Sonnenhof Großaspach	1:0
11.11.18	Sonnenhof Großaspach - Preußen Münster	3:1
12.05.18	Sonnenhof Großaspach - Preußen Münster	2:2
09.12.17	Preußen Münster - Sonnenhof Großaspach	1:4
18.02.17	Preußen Münster - Sonnenhof Großaspach	3:0

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