Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 5

Date: 14 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Preussenstadion (Munster)

Referee: Lechner F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Croatia	SportKlub 9
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Iceland	Viaplay
Malaysia	beIN SPORTS MAX
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	DAZN 3, DAZN / App
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 1
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Thailand	beIN SPORTS MAX
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Onefootball


	Preußen Münster		Fortuna Düsseldorf

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.2	2.9	Watch
	2.5	3.4	2.75
	2.35	3.3	2.82
	2.67	3.35	2.75
	2.39	3.00	3.20	Watch
	2.42	3.23	3.03	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.42)	3.25 ↓ (3.35)	2.91 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Preußen Münster
38.4%

Draw
29.1%

Fortuna Düsseldorf
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

28.2%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

29.1%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Preußen Münster has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Fortuna Düsseldorf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Preußen Münster than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Düsseldorf than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	25%	41.7%

Preußen Münster - Fortuna Düsseldorf Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Münster will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Fortuna will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fortuna: 13.8% – 69.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schenk J. (G) 27. ter Horst J. 15. Scherder S. 3. Jaeckel P. 25. Bolay L. 10. Schulz M. 21. Preissinger R. 20. Hendrix J. (C) 8. Mees J. 13. Lokotsch L. 17. Batista Meier O.	33. Kastenmeier F. (C) 2. Daland J. 15. Oberdorf T. 4. Schmidt K. 25. Zimmermann M. 6. Breithaupt T. 8. El Azzouzi A. 46. Suso S. 24. Muslija F. 13. Itten C. 9. Celar Z.
Substitutes
23. Batmaz M. 26. Behrens M. (G) 5. Bouchama Y. 2. Kirkeskov M. 24. Koulis N. 14. Makridis C. 28. Meyerhofer M. 7. Sertdemir Z. 11. Vilhelmsson O.	14. Alexandropoulos S. 30. de Wijs J. 11. Hettwer J. 5. Heyer M. 19. Iyoha E. 1. Lotka M. (G) 10. Rasmussen C. 22. Schmidt D.
Coaches
Ende A.	Thioune D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Scherder S. ⚽, Bolay L. (A),
30', Jaeckel P. 🟨,
33', Schmidt K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
55', Mees J. ↓, Makridis C. ↑,
60', Schmidt K. ↓, Rasmussen C. ↑,
64', 1 - 1, Itten C. ⚽,
65', Hendrix J. 🟨,
69', ter Horst J. 🟨,
72', 1 - 2, Muslija F. (Pen),
74', Schulz M. ↓, Bouchama Y. ↑,
74', Lokotsch L. ↓, Vilhelmsson O. ↑,
80', Scherder S. ↓, Koulis N. ↑,
80', Preissinger R. ↓, Sertdemir Z. ↑,
80', Breithaupt T. ↓, Alexandropoulos S. ↑,
81', Celar Z. ↓, Schmidt D. ↑,
85', Rasmussen C. 🟨,
87', Zimmermann M. ↓, Iyoha E. ↑,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Münster: Benger M. (Foot Injury) Kirsch M. (Inactive) Korte J. (Groin Injury) Tasov L. (Thigh Injury) Tikvic A. (Knee Injury) Vilhelmsson O. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Fortuna: Affo K. (Muscle Injury) Anhari H. (Injury) Iyoha E. (Calf Injury) Raimund L. (Injury) Schock F. (Tendon Injury) Suso S. (Inactive)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Münster won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 0.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Münster won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Preußen Münster
German 2 Bundesliga
30.08.25	Bochum - Preußen Münster	1:2 ✺
22.08.25	Preußen Münster - Nürnberg	2:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
18.08.25	Preußen Münster - Hertha Berlin	0:1 penalties ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
08.08.25	Preußen Münster - Paderborn	1:1 ✺
02.08.25	Karlsruher - Preußen Münster	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWLTL
- Fortuna Düsseldorf
German 2 Bundesliga
30.08.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Karlsruher	0:0 ✺
23.08.25	Paderborn - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:2 ✺
German DFB Pokal
18.08.25	Schweinfurt - Fortuna Düsseldorf	2:4 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
09.08.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Hannover	0:2 ✺
02.08.25	Arminia Bielefeld - Fortuna Düsseldorf	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
05.04.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Preußen Münster	1:0
01.11.24	Preußen Münster - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:0
Club Friendly
16.01.16	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Preußen Münster	0:2
10.07.14	Preußen Münster - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:2
06.09.13	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Preußen Münster	1:0

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