Match Info

NB II. - Round 28

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday


	Soroksár		Ajka

	1	X	2
	2.02	3.1	3.35
	2.04	3.2	3.46
	2.07	3.31	3.53	Watch
	2.05	2.9	3.4
	2.03	3.1	3.5
	2.45	3.15	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.45)	3.13 ↓ (3.15)	3.29 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Soroksár
43.2%

Draw
29.1%

Ajka
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

28.2%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

28.7%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Soroksár has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Soroksár's performance.

Ajka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ajka might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Soroksár than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Soroksár that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajka than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ajka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Soroksár - Ajka Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Ori L. (G) 27. Bagi A. 4. Kekesi A. 11. Kobol K. 18. Konczey M. 20. Lovrencsics B. (C) 19. Lukacs D. 25. Nagy O. 3. Olalekan I. A. 8. Vass A. 7. Ven A.	31. Horvath D. (G) 29. Bacsa B. S. 10. Cipf D. 71. Csoka Dom. 24. Csornyei Z. 99. Garai Z. 5. Kenderes Z. 11. Kopacsi A. 8. Mohos B. 18. Sejben V. 34. Tar Z.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Bagi A. ⚽,
8', 🟨,
9', 2 - 0, Kobol K. (Penalty Awarded),
34', 3 - 0, Kekesi A. ⚽,
45', Kopacsi A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Bacsa B. S. ↓, Doncsecz L. ↑,
52', Lukacs D. 🟨,
58', Vass A. ↓, Kokovai C. ↑,
60', Kopacsi A. ↓, Csizmadia Z. ↑,
62', 3 - 1, Sejben V. ⚽,
66', Olalekan I. A. ↓, Golik B. J. ↑,
73', Mohos B. ↓, Csanadi B. ↑,
81', Garai Z. ↓, Papp M. ↑,
82', Csornyei Z. ↓, Katona I. ↑,
86', Ven A. ↓, Kundrak N. ↑,
90+2', Cipf D. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Soroksár won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Soroksár is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Soroksár won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:18. (average 1.2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Soroksár won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.7:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Soroksar	8	6	2	0	23:7	16	20
4	Ajka	7	4	2	1	9:6	3	14

Last Results with these Odds

Soroksár - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 36.26%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Ajka - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 35.54%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Soroksár
Hungarian NB II
27.04.26	Budapest Honved - Soroksár	0:0 ✺
19.04.26	Soroksár - Budafoki	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Videoton - Soroksár	1:1 ✺
05.04.26	Soroksár - BVSC-Zugló	2:1 ✺
22.03.26	Vasas - Soroksár	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21 TWTWL
- Ajka
Hungarian NB II
26.04.26	Mezőkövesd-Zsóry - Ajka	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Kozármisleny - Ajka	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Ajka - Tiszakécske	1:4 ✺
05.04.26	Karcag - Ajka	0:1 ✺
22.03.26	Ajka - Békéscsaba 1912	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Hungarian NB II
09.11.25	Ajka - Soroksár	2:1
27.04.25	Ajka - Soroksár	0:0
27.10.24	Soroksár - Ajka	3:1
14.02.24	Soroksár - Ajka	1:3
30.07.23	Ajka - Soroksár	1:1
02.04.23	Ajka - Soroksár	2:0
05.10.22	Soroksár - Ajka	2:0

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