Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP G - ROUND 21

Date: 29 January 2023, Sunday


	Sorrento		Aprilia

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.1	3.1
	2.15	3	3.2
	2.09	3.07	3.25
	2.26	2.9	3.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (1.65)	3.02 ↓ (3.54)	3.2 ↓ (4.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sorrento
41.9%

Draw
29.9%

Aprilia
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.6%

25.4%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7%

24.5%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sorrento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sorrento's form might have worsened.

Aprilia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aprilia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sorrento than the current prediction. (+14.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sorrento, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aprilia than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aprilia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sorrento - Aprilia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group G (Play Offs) and 12).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Sorrento could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Sorrento is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Sorrento won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Sorrento won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sorrento FC
Club Friendly
27.01.23	Cockburn City - Sorrento	1:2 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group G
22.01.23	Palmese 1914 - Sorrento	1:0 ✺
18.01.23	Sorrento - Angri	3:0 ✺
15.01.23	Portici - Sorrento	2:2 ✺
08.01.23	Sorrento - Real Monterotondo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLWTT
- Aprilia
Italian Serie D - Group G
22.01.23	Aprilia - Portici	0:0 ✺
14.01.23	Atletico Uri - Aprilia	2:1 ✺
06.01.23	Aprilia - Angri	3:1 ✺
21.12.22	Aprilia - Vis Artena	0:0 ✺
18.12.22	Casertana - Aprilia	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group G
27.09.22	Aprilia - Sorrento	0:2
Italian Lega Pro C2/B
12.01.14	Sorrento - Aprilia	1:0
08.09.13	Aprilia - Sorrento	2:1

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