Match Info

Date: 16 February 2022, Wednesday


	Sorrento		Francavilla

	1	X	2
	2.5	3	2.5
	2.5	3.1	2.6
	2.47	3.07	2.62
	2.5	3.1	2.5
	2.54	3.2	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.27)	3.09 ↓ (3.1)	2.57 ↓ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sorrento
35.9%

Draw
29.1%

Francavilla
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

29.2%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

21.3%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sorrento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Francavilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sorrento than the current prediction. (+18.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sorrento, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francavilla than the current prediction. (-12.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Francavilla, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sorrento - Francavilla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 6 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Play Offs).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sorrento won 0.

Sorrento is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Francavilla is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sorrento could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Sorrento won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Sorrento won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sorrento FC
Italian Serie D - Group H
13.02.22	Città di Brindisi - Sorrento	0:2 ✺
06.02.22	Sorrento - Bitonto	4:1 ✺
02.02.22	Virtus Matino - Sorrento	2:0 ✺
29.01.22	Sorrento - Mariglianese	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
29.01.22	Sorrento - Cockburn City	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WWLWW
- FC Francavilla
Italian Serie D - Group H
12.02.22	Francavilla - San Giorgio	0:1 ✺
06.02.22	Rotonda - Francavilla	0:1 ✺
02.02.22	Francavilla - Nocerina	1:1 ✺
30.01.22	Città di Brindisi - Francavilla	2:1 ✺
22.12.21	Bitonto - Francavilla	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
10.10.21	Francavilla - Sorrento	5:0
11.04.21	Sorrento - Francavilla	2:2
20.12.20	Francavilla - Sorrento	1:1
12.01.20	Francavilla - Sorrento	0:0
07.09.19	Sorrento - Francavilla	1:1
23.03.19	Francavilla - Sorrento	1:3
18.11.18	Sorrento - Francavilla	1:2

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