Match Info
Coppa Italia Serie D - Quarter-finalsDate: 3 December 2025, Wednesday
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 |
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 |
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Francavilla |
|
Nocerina |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.6 |
3 |
2.55 |
|
 |
2.78 |
3 |
2.42 |
|
 |
2.63 |
3.1 |
2.5 |
|
 |
3.42 |
2.85 |
2.25 |
 Watch |
 |
2.7 |
2.9 |
2.45 |
|
 |
2.72 |
3 |
2.43 |
|
 |
2.71 |
2.85 |
2.54 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.79 ↑
(2.52) |
2.96 ↓
(3) |
2.45 ↓
(2.61) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Francavilla
32.4% | Draw
30.6% | Nocerina
37% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Francavilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)Nocerina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francavilla than the current prediction. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nocerina than the current prediction. (-2.5%)Francavilla - Nocerina Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 71', 1 - 0, Pio Carrozza G. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Francavilla won 2.Francavilla has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).Nocerina is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins). The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Francavilla won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1.1:1.3).Including home matches between the teams, Francavilla won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:9. (average 1.6:1.8).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Italian Serie D - Group H | | | 22.09.24 | Nocerina - Francavilla | 0:0 | | 14.05.23 | Nocerina - Francavilla | 2:1 | | 15.01.23 | Francavilla - Nocerina | 3:2 | | 11.09.22 | Nocerina - Francavilla | 1:1 | | 25.05.22 | Francavilla - Nocerina | 2:1 | | 02.02.22 | Francavilla - Nocerina | 1:1 | | 26.09.21 | Nocerina - Francavilla | 2:1 |
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