Match Info

NPL Western Australia - Round 11

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Percy Doyle Reserve (Perth)


	Sorrento		Olympic Kingsway

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.65	3.9	1.55	Watch
	4.66	4.21	1.63
	1.00	1.00	1.02	Watch
	4.75	3.8	1.57
	4.91	4.1	1.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.99 ↑ (3.61)	3.4 ↓ (3.8)	1.46 ↓ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sorrento
20.4%

Draw
23.9%

Olympic Kingsway
55.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.8%

24.5%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.6%

23.8%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sorrento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sorrento's form might have worsened.

Olympic Kingsway has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Olympic Kingsway's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sorrento than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sorrento, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olympic Kingsway than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Olympic Kingsway, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sorrento - Olympic Kingsway Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
50', 0 - 2, ⚽,
64', 0 - 3, ⚽,
71', 1 - 3, ⚽,
89', 1 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Western Australia (Play Offs: )).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Olympic Kingsway is the team to beat.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sorrento won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Sorrento won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sorrento FC Perth
Australian NPL Western Australia
16.05.26	Sorrento - Perth SC	1:2 ✺
08.05.26	Perth RedStar - Sorrento	4:1 ✺
25.04.26	Fremantle City - Sorrento	0:1 ✺
18.04.26	Perth Glory U23 - Sorrento	0:1 ✺
08.04.26	Sorrento - Balcatta	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LLWWW
- Olympic Kingsway
Australian NPL Western Australia
16.05.26	Fremantle City - Olympic Kingsway	2:2 ✺
08.05.26	Bayswater City - Olympic Kingsway	3:2 ✺
25.04.26	Olympic Kingsway - Western Knights	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Olympic Kingsway - Perth SC	1:2 ✺
04.04.26	Olympic Kingsway - Armadale	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
01.02.26	Olympic Kingsway - Sorrento	3:1
Australian NPL Western Australia
21.06.25	Olympic Kingsway - Sorrento	0:2
22.03.25	Sorrento - Olympic Kingsway	0:2
19.08.23	Olympic Kingsway - Sorrento	0:1
06.05.23	Sorrento - Olympic Kingsway	0:2

Sorrento - Olympic Kingsway: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide