Match Info

NPL Western Australia - Round 9

Date: 8 May 2026, Friday

Location: RedStar Arena (Joondalup)


	Perth RedStar		Sorrento

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.48	4.05	5.35
	1.49	4.57	5.92
	1.49	4.64	5.48	Watch
	1.44	4	5
	1.53	4.43	5.27	Watch
	1.5	3.85	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.69)	4.26 ↑ (3.75)	5.25 ↑ (4.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Perth RedStar
61.2%

Draw
21.4%

Sorrento
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

24.1%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

25%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Perth RedStar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Perth RedStar's performance.

Sorrento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sorrento might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perth RedStar than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Perth RedStar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sorrento than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Perth RedStar - Sorrento Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, ⚽,
36', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
51', 2 - 1, ⚽,
70', 3 - 1, ⚽,
89', 4 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Western Australia (Play Offs: ) and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Perth RedStar won 4.

Perth RedStar is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Sorrento is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Perth RedStar is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Perth RedStar will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Perth RedStar won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:15. (average 2.7:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Perth RedStar won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 2.2:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Perth RedStar
Australian NPL Western Australia
25.04.26	Balcatta - Perth RedStar	2:4 ✺
18.04.26	Dianella White Eagles - Perth RedStar	0:1 ✺
02.04.26	Perth RedStar - Stirling Macedonia	2:1 ✺
28.03.26	Western Knights - Perth RedStar	4:2 ✺
21.03.26	Perth RedStar - Perth Glory U23	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWWLW
- Sorrento FC Perth
Australian NPL Western Australia
25.04.26	Fremantle City - Sorrento	0:1 ✺
18.04.26	Perth Glory U23 - Sorrento	0:1 ✺
08.04.26	Sorrento - Balcatta	2:1 ✺
04.04.26	Sorrento - Western Knights	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Armadale - Sorrento	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Western Australia
23.08.25	Perth RedStar - Sorrento	1:0
24.05.25	Sorrento - Perth RedStar	0:1
24.06.23	Perth RedStar - Sorrento	1:2
01.04.23	Sorrento - Perth RedStar	1:7
06.09.22	Perth RedStar - Sorrento	3:2
20.08.22	Sorrento - Perth RedStar	5:2
28.05.22	Perth RedStar - Sorrento	4:2

Perth RedStar - Sorrento: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide