Match Info

Date: 3 October 2020, Saturday


	Sotra		Asker Fotball

	1	X	2
	3.8	4.33	1.65
	3.9	3.9	1.67
	3.2	4.15	1.8
	4.1	3.85	1.65
	4.43	4.13	1.65
	4	3.6	1.75
	4.15	4.1	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.94 ↑ (2.75)	4.01 ↓ (4.15)	1.69 ↓ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sotra
23.2%

Draw
22.8%

Asker Fotball
54%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

21.9%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

15.7%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sotra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sotra's form might have worsened.

Asker Fotball has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Asker Fotball's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sotra than the current prediction. (+22.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sotra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Asker Fotball than the current prediction. (-21.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Asker Fotball, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sotra - Asker Fotball Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

The neighbours in a tournament table will play in a very interesting match (ranked 6 and 5).

Sotra is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Asker is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sotra could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Asker is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Sotra won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Sotra won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sotra SK
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
30.09.20	Levanger - Sotra	2:1 ✺
19.09.20	Sotra - Bærum	1:1 ✺
12.09.20	Flekkerøy - Sotra	2:0 ✺
06.09.20	Sotra - Arendal	2:1 ✺
29.08.20	Sotra - Egersund	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LTLWL
- Asker Fotball
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
26.09.20	Asker Fotball - Fram	5:3 ✺
20.09.20	Nardo - Asker Fotball	1:1 ✺
13.09.20	Asker Fotball - Arendal	3:1 ✺
06.09.20	Egersund - Asker Fotball	4:0 ✺
30.08.20	Asker Fotball - Levanger	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
22.09.19	Asker Fotball - Sotra	2:0
18.05.19	Sotra - Asker Fotball	1:0

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