Match Info

Division 2 - Group 1 - Round 8

Date: 25 May 2026, Monday

Location: Straume Fotballhall (Straume)


	Sotra		Bjarg

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.9	4.45
	1.65	4	4.78
	1.65	4	4.69	Watch
	1.62	3.5	4.4
	1.59	3.84	4.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.5)	3.85 ↓ (4.33)	4.61 ↓ (5.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sotra
56.2%

Draw
23.8%

Bjarg
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.6%

21.3%

17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.2%

20.1%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sotra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sotra's form might have worsened.

Bjarg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sotra than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sotra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bjarg than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Sotra - Bjarg Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sotra (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Sotra will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Grasmo M. (G) 17. Aaserud M. 7. Falck F. 8. Foldnes H. 11. Haland T. 19. Hjorteseth I. 3. Johansen A. 24. Larsen E. 2. Ree K. 20. Torum D. (C) 6. Wik S.	1. Johnsen J. (G) 14. Aanonsen S. 18. Ahlander A. 4. Ahmer M. 17. Ali Alzubi M. 22. Christophersen M. 6. Halset V. 13. Hopsdal S. (C) 7. Hopsdal S. 8. Jorgensen J. 9. Stephensen K.
Substitutes
21. Amdam A. 14. Faeo M. 10. Kilen L. 15. Myrmo M. 18. Oren D. 5. Skar O. M. D. 16. Sulen R. H. (G) 4. Tveit J.	28. Angerman K. 10. Dahl C. 16. Fromreide Aasbo E. 25. Hanssen A. 5. Mildestveit H. 12. Mossestad P. (G) 2. Steensen T. 19. Stronstad-Loseth S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Birkelund T. 🟨,
34', Aaserud M. 🟨,
44', Torum D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
53', Hopsdal S. 🟨,
64', 0 - 1, Jorgensen J. ⚽,
75', Jorgensen J. ↓, Fromreide Aasbo E. ↑,
82', 1 - 1, Wik S. ⚽,
82', Stephensen K. ↓, Hanssen A. ↑,
84', Torum D. ↓, Skar O. M. D. ↑,
84', Haland T. ↓, Kilen L. ↑,
84', 1 - 2, Hopsdal S. ⚽,
89', Hopsdal S. ↓, Stronstad-Loseth S. ↑,
90+5', Wik S. ↓, Myrmo M. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 and 8).

Sotra is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Bjarg has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Sotra is the team to beat.

We predict that Sotra will win today's game, with odds of 1.56.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Bjarg	22	14	2	6	47:28	19	44
5	Sotra	22	12	3	7	47:25	22	39

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sotra SK
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
14.05.26	Vidar - Sotra	1:3 ✺
10.05.26	Sotra - Eik-Tønsberg	6:0 ✺
03.05.26	Pors - Sotra	0:0 ✺
25.04.26	Sotra - Mjøndalen	4:0 ✺
18.04.26	Træff - Sotra	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWTWW
- IL Bjarg
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
14.05.26	Bjarg - Brattvåg	2:6 ✺
10.05.26	Jerv - Bjarg	3:1 ✺
02.05.26	Bjarg - Lysekloster	2:2 ✺
25.04.26	Notodden - Bjarg	0:1 ✺
18.04.26	Bjarg - Kvik Halden	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLTWL

Upcoming Matches