Match Info

ALGERIA: LIGUE 1 - ROUND 21

Date: 23 March 2024, Saturday


	Souf		El Bayadh

	1	X	2
	5	3.25	1.63
	5.5	3.4	1.66
	5.68	3.32	1.7
	5.68	3.32	1.7
	5	3.5	1.62
	5.53	3.3	1.68
	5.2	3.5	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.37 ↑ (4.58)	3.37 ↑ (3.06)	1.66 ↓ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Souf
17.2%

Draw
27.4%

El Bayadh
55.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.2%

30.2%

49.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.6%

29.4%

51%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Souf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

El Bayadh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting El Bayadh's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Souf than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Bayadh than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Souf - El Bayadh Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 5)
2nd Half (4 - 0)

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 11).

Recent matches Souf is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

El Bayadh is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

El Bayadh could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently El Bayadh have a series of home games.

In this match El Bayadh is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Souf won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Souf
Algerian Ligue 1
15.03.24	Constantine - Souf	3:0 ✺
02.03.24	Souf - Ben Aknoun	Ben Aknoun awarded ✺
24.02.24	Oran - Souf	2:1 ✺
17.02.24	Souf - Biskra	2:0 ✺
10.02.24	Belouizdad - Souf	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 L?LWL
- MC El Bayadh
Algerian Ligue 1
16.03.24	El Bayadh - Saoura	0:1 ✺
02.03.24	ASO Chlef - El Bayadh	2:1 ✺
24.02.24	El Bayadh - MC Alger	0:0 ✺
Algerian Cup
19.02.24	El Bayadh - SC Mecheria	1:2 penalties ✺
Algerian Ligue 1
15.02.24	El Bayadh - ES Sétif	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Algerian Ligue 1
17.11.23	El Bayadh - Souf	4:0

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