Match Info

ALGERIA: LIGUE 1 - ROUND 18

Date: 24 February 2024, Saturday


	Oran		Souf

	1	X	2
	1.3	4.33	9.25
	1.33	4.2	11	Watch
	1.26	4.4	10
	1.31	4.61	13.63
	1.33	4	8.5
	1.29	4.7	11
	1.34	4.4	9.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.84)	4.38 ↑ (3.15)	10.4 ↑ (4.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oran
70.2%

Draw
21%

Souf
8.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

28.8%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

24.4%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oran has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Oran's performance.

Souf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Souf might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oran than the current prediction. (-28.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oran that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Souf than the current prediction. (+17%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Souf could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Oran - Souf Predictions

Users Predictions: Oran will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).

Recent matches Oran is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Souf is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Oran could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Oran is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Oran won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MC Oran
Algerian Ligue 1
17.02.24	Saoura - Oran	1:1 ✺
09.02.24	Oran - ASO Chlef	1:1 ✺
Algerian Cup
03.02.24	Oran - CR Béni Thour	3:0 ✺
Algerian Ligue 1
30.01.24	Belouizdad - Oran	2:0 ✺
26.01.24	Oran - MC Alger	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TTWLL
- US Souf
Algerian Ligue 1
17.02.24	Souf - Biskra	2:0 ✺
10.02.24	Belouizdad - Souf	2:0 ✺
27.01.24	Kabylie - Souf	3:2 ✺
19.01.24	Souf - USM Alger	1:3 ✺
13.01.24	Khenchela - Souf	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Algerian Ligue 1
29.09.23	Souf - Oran	0:0

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