Match Info

ALGERIA: LIGUE 1 - ROUND 12

Date: 5 January 2024, Friday


	Souf		Paradou

	1	X	2
	3.8	2.95	1.9
	4	3.1	1.95	Watch
	4.29	3.05	2
	4.29	3.05	2.01
	3.7	3	1.95
	4.07	3.02	2.01	Watch
	3.75	3.05	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.99 ↑ (2.96)	3.03 ↑ (2.84)	1.98 ↓ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Souf
23.1%

Draw
30.4%

Paradou
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

32.1%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

31.1%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Souf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Souf's form might have worsened.

Paradou has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paradou's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Souf than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Souf, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paradou than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paradou, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Souf - Paradou Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Souf will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Paradou will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paradou: 64.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 6).

Souf has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Paradou is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Souf
Algerian Ligue 1
29.12.23	Magra - Souf	1:0 ✺
16.12.23	Souf - ES Sétif	1:3 ✺
09.12.23	Souf - Saoura	0:1 ✺
02.12.23	ASO Chlef - Souf	2:0 ✺
25.11.23	Souf - MC Alger	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Paradou AC
Algerian Ligue 1
29.12.23	Paradou - Saoura	0:0 ✺
15.12.23	ASO Chlef - Paradou	1:1 ✺
07.12.23	Paradou - MC Alger	0:1 ✺
01.12.23	El Bayadh - Paradou	1:0 ✺
24.11.23	Paradou - Constantine	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TTLLT

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