Match Info
NPL Tasmania - Round 17Date: 1 August 2026, SaturdayLocation: Darcy Street (Hobart)
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South Hobart |
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Launceston City |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
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 Watch |
 |
1.28 |
6.00 |
7.25 |
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 |
1.23 |
5.9 |
7.7 |
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 |
1.24 |
6.56 |
8.11 |
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1.3 |
6.3 |
7.14 |
Watch |
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1.17 |
6.45 |
8 |
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1.3 |
6.31 |
7.14 |
Watch |
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1.24 |
6 |
7.8 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.25 ↓
(1.35) |
6.22 ↑
(4.6) |
7.59 ↑
(6) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 4.25
- The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
South Hobart
73.2% | Draw
14.7% | Launceston City
12.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
South Hobart has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in South Hobart's performance.Launceston City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for South Hobart than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with South Hobart that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Launceston City than the current prediction. (+2.3%)South Hobart - Launceston City Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 5', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 11', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 22', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 62', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 and 4).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, South Hobart won 3.Right now, both teams are showing solid form.Launceston may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, South Hobart is the clear favorite.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, South Hobart won 13 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 61:25. (average 3.1:1.3).Including home matches between the teams, South Hobart won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 33:13. (average 3.3:1.3).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian NPL Tasmania | | | 09.05.26 | Launceston City - South Hobart | 1:8 | | 09.08.25 | South Hobart - Launceston City | 1:3 | | 14.06.25 | Launceston City - South Hobart | 1:2 | | 06.04.25 | South Hobart - Launceston City | 2:2 | | 07.09.24 | South Hobart - Launceston City | 2:1 | | 13.07.24 | Launceston City - South Hobart | 4:2 | | 11.05.24 | Launceston City - South Hobart | 1:2 |
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