Match Info

Friendly International Women

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Arena Pantanal (Cuiabá)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	South Korea W		Zambia W

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.55	3.55
	2.01	3.7	3.71
	1.65	3.96	4.28	Watch
	1.8	3.4	3.5
	1.68	3.92	4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.44)	3.71 ↓ (4.13)	3.81 ↓ (5.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

South Korea W
51%

Draw
24.8%

Zambia W
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.9%

22%

15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3%

22.1%

15.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

South Korea W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that South Korea W's form might have worsened.

Zambia W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zambia W's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for South Korea W than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for South Korea W, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zambia W than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zambia W, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

South Korea W - Zambia W Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Woo Seo-Bin (G) 25. Kim M. Incheon Red Angels 20. Seo Y. (C) Suwon FC 3. Lee M. 16. Jo Min-Ah 5. Choi M. 24. Kang J. Sejong Sportstoto 17. Song J. Suwon FC 18. Kim Min-Ji 11. Lee Eun-Young Molde 19. Casey Phair Angel City	1. Musonda C. (G) 8. Belemu M. Hakkarigucu 23. Maluba M. 3. Mweemba L. Hakkarigucu 13. Tembo M. Hakkarigucu 14. Lungu I. Jiangsu Suning 15. Musesa A. Nasaf Qarshi 17. Chipasula M. 25. Chilufya P. Angel City 11. Banda B. (C) Orlando Pride 10. Chanda G. Queretaro
Substitutes
22. Choo Hyo-Joo Incheon Red Angels 14. Jung Min-Young Seoul WFC 26. Jung You-Jin 23. Kang Chae-Rim Montreal Roses FC 21. Kang J. (G) 2. Kim Jin-Hui 10. Lee Geum-Min Birmingham 15. Noh J. Sejong Sportstoto 6. Park Hye-Jeong Sejong Sportstoto 13. Park Soo-Jeong AC Milan 12. Ryu Ji-Soo (G) 4. Shin Na-Yeong Brooklyn 7. Son Hwa-Yeon	4. Banda S. 9. Chabwe N. 19. Chilenga M. 5. Gondwe M. 18. Mafunte C. (G) 21. Mambwe M. 2. Mwanza S. 22. Nanyangwe N. Green Buffaloes FC 7. Nthala M. 24. Phiri A.
Coaches
Shin Sang-Woo	Hauptle N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
26', 0 - 1, Banda B. (Penalty Awarded),
43', Song J. ↓, Jung Min-Young ↑,
43', Jo Min-Ah ↓, Choo Hyo-Joo ↑,
43', Choi M. ↓, Noh J. ↑,
43', Kim M. ↓, Kim Jin-Hui ↑,
45+3', 1 - 1, Casey Phair ⚽, Choo Hyo-Joo (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Chipasula M. ↓, Mambwe M. ↑,
46', Chanda G. ↓, Chabwe N. ↑,
46', Maluba M. ↓, Gondwe M. ↑,
46', Musesa A. ↓, Nanyangwe N. ↑,
46', Kang J. ↓, Kang Chae-Rim ↑,
46', Lee Eun-Young ↓, Park Soo-Jeong ↑,
46', Casey Phair ↓, Son Hwa-Yeon ↑,
73', Kim Min-Ji ↓, Park Hye-Jeong ↑,
90', Chilufya P. ↓, Chilenga M. ↑,
90+1', Tembo M. ↓, Mwanza S. ↑,

Preview

Neutral location.

South Korea is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Zambia has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Zambia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, South Korea is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, South Korea won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 4:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- South Korea W
Friendly International Women
14.04.26	Canada W - South Korea W	3:1 ✺
11.04.26	Brazil W - South Korea W	5:1 ✺
Asian Cup Women
18.03.26	South Korea W - Japan W	1:4 ✺
14.03.26	South Korea W - Uzbekistan W	6:0 ✺
08.03.26	Australia W - South Korea W	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLLWT
- Zambia W
Friendly International Women
11.04.26	Canada W - Zambia W	4:0 ✺
COSAFA Cup Women
01.03.26	Zambia W - Zimbabwe W	3:1 ✺
27.02.26	Zambia W - Namibia W	0:1 ✺
24.02.26	Zambia W - Eswatini W	2:1 ✺
22.02.26	Zambia W - Zimbabwe W	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Friendly International Women
11.04.23	South Korea W - Zambia W	5:0
07.04.23	South Korea W - Zambia W	3:2

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