Match Info

Asian Cup Women - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 18 March 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Accor Stadium (Sydney) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	06:00	Disney+
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, Q Football Asia
Australia	20:00	Paramount+
China	17:00	iQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8
Hong Kong	17:00	HOY TV, M Plus Live
India	14:30	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	16:00	K-Vision
Iran	12:30	Persiana Sports 4
Israel	11:00	5 LIVE Israel
Japan	18:00	DAZN Japan
Macao	17:00	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	17:00	Astro Go
Mexico	03:00	Disney+
Netherlands	10:00	Canal+, ESPN 3
North Macedonia	10:00	TDM Desporto
Pakistan	14:00	Tapmad
Peru	04:00	Disney+
South Korea	18:00	Coupang Play
Taiwan	17:00	Boss Sports One
Turkey	12:00	Spor Smart 1
Uruguay	06:00	Disney+
Venezuela	05:00	Disney+
Vietnam	16:00	TV 360


	South Korea W		Japan W

	1	X	2
				Watch
	6.75	4.75	1.34
	8.4	4.7	1.29
	8.55	5.29	1.33
	8.65	5.18	1.31	Watch
	8.5	4.6	1.29
	9.7	5.2	1.24	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.43 ↑ (6.04)	4.95 ↑ (4.28)	1.3 ↓ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

South Korea W
10.9%

Draw
18.5%

Japan W
70.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

15.2%

21.5%

63.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

South Korea W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Japan W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Japan W's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

South Korea W - Japan W Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. South Korea will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Japan will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Kim M. (G) Incheon Red Angels 19. Noh J. Sejong Sportstoto 20. Kim Hye-Ri Wuhan Jiangda 16. Jang Sel-Gi Gyeongju 5. Ko Yoo-Jin (C) Incheon Red Angels 13. Park Soo-Jeong AC Milan 8. Kim Shin-Ji Rangers 9. Mun Eun-Ju 14. Jung Min-Young Seoul WFC 15. Jeon Yu-Gyeong Molde 22. Choo Hyo-Joo Incheon Red Angels	1. Yamashita A. (G) Manchester City 13. Kitagawa H. Everton 4. Kumagai S. London City Lionesses 5. Takahashi H. Urawa 6. Koga T. Tottenham 10. Nagano F. Liverpool 14. Hasegawa Y. (C) Manchester City 7. Miyazawa H. Manchester United 15. Fujino A. Manchester City 9. Ueki R. West Ham 17. Hamano M. Tottenham
Substitutes
6. Casey Phair Angel City 11. Choe Yu-Ri Incheon Red Angels 17. Choi Y. 10. Ji So-Yun 23. Kang Chae-Rim Montreal Roses FC 2. Kim Jin-Hui 26. Kim Min-Ji 25. Lee M. 3. Park Hye-Jeong Sejong Sportstoto 18. Ryu Ji-Soo (G) 4. Shin Na-Yeong Brooklyn 12. Song J. Suwon FC 7. Son Hwa-Yeon AIK 1. Woo Seo-Bin (G)	25. Chiba R. Eintracht Frankfurt 18. Hayashi H. Everton 26. Hijikata M. Aston Villa 12. Hirao C. (G) Granada CF 20. Matsukubo M. North Carolina Courage 3. Minami M. Brighton 21. Moriya M. Utah Royals 24. Narumiya Y. Inac Kobe Leonesa 23. Okuma A. (G) 8. Seike K. Brighton 2. Shimizu R. Liverpool 11. Tanaka M. Utah Royals 19. Tanikawa M. Bayern Munich 16. Yamamoto Y. Beleza

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
15', 0 - 1, Ueki R. ⚽, Nagano F. (A),
25', 0 - 2, Hamano M. ⚽, Kitagawa H. (A),
41', Jeon Yu-Gyeong ↓, Son Hwa-Yeon ↑,
45+4', Mun Eun-Ju ↓, Ji So-Yun ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Choo Hyo-Joo ↓, Kang Chae-Rim ↑,
68', Hamano M. ↓, Tanaka M. ↑,
68', Ueki R. ↓, Matsukubo M. ↑,
72', Kim Shin-Ji ↓, Park Hye-Jeong ↑,
72', Jung Min-Young ↓, Choe Yu-Ri ↑,
75', 0 - 3, Kumagai S. ⚽, Tanikawa M. (A),
78', 1 - 3, Kang Chae-Rim ⚽, Park Hye-Jeong (A),
79', Fujino A. ↓, Chiba R. ↑,
79', Hasegawa Y. ↓, Yamamoto Y. ↑,
81', 1 - 4, Chiba R. ⚽, Matsukubo M. (A),
87', Kitagawa H. ↓, Shimizu R. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, South Korea won 0.

South Korea may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Japan is the clear favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, South Korea won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:16. (average 0.9:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- South Korea W
Asian Cup Women
14.03.26	South Korea W - Uzbekistan W	6:0 ✺
08.03.26	Australia W - South Korea W	3:3 ✺
04.03.26	Philippines W - South Korea W	0:3 ✺
02.03.26	South Korea W - Iran W	3:0 ✺
Friendly International Women
02.12.25	Netherlands W - South Korea W	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WTWWL
- Japan W
Asian Cup Women
15.03.26	Japan W - Philippines W	7:0 ✺
10.03.26	Japan W - Vietnam W	4:0 ✺
07.03.26	India W - Japan W	0:11 ✺
04.03.26	Japan W - Chinese Taipei W	2:0 ✺
Friendly International Women
02.12.25	Japan W - Canada W	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

EAFF E-1 Women
13.07.25	Japan W - South Korea W	1:1
Friendly International Women
26.10.24	Japan W - South Korea W	4:0
EAFF E-1 Women
19.07.22	Japan W - South Korea W	2:1
Asian Cup Women
27.01.22	Japan W - South Korea W	1:1
EAFF E-1 Women
17.12.19	South Korea W - Japan W	0:1
Asian Games Football Women
28.08.18	South Korea W - Japan W	1:2
Asian Cup Women
10.04.18	South Korea W - Japan W	0:0

South Korea W - Japan W