Match Info

Super League - Round 3

Date: 7 January 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Soy United		Equity Bank

	1	X	2
	2.83	3.00	2.50	Watch
	2.3	2.75	3
	2.49	3	2.9	Watch
	2.4	2.8	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.43)	2.89 ↑ (2.88)	2.8 ↓ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Soy United
36.2%

Draw
31.4%

Equity Bank
32.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37%

31.2%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

32.1%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Soy United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Equity Bank has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Soy United than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Equity Bank than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Soy United - Equity Bank Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Equity Bank (2.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Equity Bank (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 15 and 6).

Soy United is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Equity Bank is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Soy United has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Equity Bank	36	20	11	5	53:26	27	71
10	Soy United	36	13	9	14	30:27	3	48

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Soy United
Kenyan Super League
21.12.25	Nairobi City Stars - Soy United	1:1 ✺
18.12.25	Kabati - Soy United	2:1 ✺
14.12.25	Soy United - MCF	1:0 ✺
26.11.25	Darajani Gogo - Soy United	1:0 ✺
22.11.25	Talanta - Soy United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TLWLL
- Equity Bank FC
Kenyan Super League
21.12.25	Equity Bank - Vihiga United	2:1 ✺
17.12.25	Equity Bank - Darajani Gogo	2:0 ✺
12.12.25	Nairobi City Stars - Equity Bank	2:0 ✺
07.12.25	Equity Bank - 3K	2:1 ✺
03.12.25	Kisumu All-Stars - Equity Bank	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWLWT

Soy United - Equity Bank