Match Info

Super League - Round 16

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday


	Soy United		Mombasa United

	1	X	2
	2.23	2.88	3.43	Watch
	2.1	2.7	3.5
	2.1	2.9	3.57
	2.08	2.85	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.42)	2.83 ↓ (2.93)	3.46 ↑ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Soy United
42.3%

Draw
31.7%

Mombasa United
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

30.4%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

29.5%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Soy United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Soy United's performance.

Mombasa United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mombasa United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Soy United than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mombasa United than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mombasa United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Soy United - Mombasa United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 15 and 4).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Soy United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Mombasa United	36	23	3	10	49:31	18	72
10	Soy United	36	13	9	14	30:27	3	48

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Soy United
Kenyan Super League
07.01.26	Soy United - Equity Bank	2:1 ✺
21.12.25	Nairobi City Stars - Soy United	1:1 ✺
18.12.25	Kabati - Soy United	2:1 ✺
14.12.25	Soy United - MCF	1:0 ✺
26.11.25	Darajani Gogo - Soy United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WTLWL
- Mombasa United
Kenyan Super League
17.12.25	Mombasa United - Mwatate United	3:0 ✺
12.12.25	Migori Youth - Mombasa United	3:2 ✺
02.12.25	Nairobi City Stars - Mombasa United	1:0 ✺
29.11.25	MOFA - Mombasa United	4:0 ✺
22.11.25	Mombasa United - Equity Bank	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLLLW

Soy United - Mombasa United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide