Match Info

BULGARIA: VTORA LIGA - ROUND 23

Date: 18 March 2023, Saturday


	Sozopol		Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo

	1	X	2
	4.3	3.2	1.71
	4.52	3.1	1.78
	4.8	3.24	1.76	Watch
	3.85	2.95	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.37 ↓ (4.47)	3.12 ↓ (3.23)	1.81 ↑ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sozopol
20.8%

Draw
29.1%

Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.1%

27.8%

52.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20%

27.6%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sozopol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sozopol than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Sozopol - Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Parva liga).

Recent matches Sozopol is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Etar is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sozopol could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Etar is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sozopol won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Sozopol won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Sozopol
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
12.03.23	Sozopol - Maritsa Plovdiv	1:1 ✺
04.03.23	Dunav Ruse - Sozopol	2:2 ✺
25.02.23	Sozopol - Lovech	1:0 ✺
19.02.23	Spartak Pleven - Sozopol	0:0 ✺
11.02.23	Sozopol - Strumska Slava Radomir	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 TTWTT
- Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
10.03.23	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo - Sportist Svoge	1:2 ✺
03.03.23	Maritsa Plovdiv - Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	0:1 ✺
25.02.23	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo - Vitosha Bistritsa	2:0 ✺
19.02.23	Dunav Ruse - Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	0:0 ✺
14.02.23	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo - Montana	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
20.08.22	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo - Sozopol	1:0
13.03.22	Sozopol - Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	1:1
28.08.21	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo - Sozopol	2:0
Bulgarian Cup
22.10.20	Sozopol - Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	0:1 penalties
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
14.05.17	Sozopol - Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	1:1

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